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How the public is betting UFC Fight Night on ABC

We breakdown a few fights on UFC’s first event of 2021, which will be televised for the first time on ABC.

Opponents Max Holloway and Calvin Kattar face off during the UFC weigh-in at Etihad Arena on UFC Fight Island on January 15, 2021 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

After taking a couple of weeks off to end 2020, the UFC is back with its first event of 2021, which will be broadcast on ESPN+ and for the first time on ABC. At 12:00 p.m. ET, there will be six prelim fights streamed on ESPN+.

Then at 3 p.m. ET on ABC, there will be five bouts on the main card, which includes the main event of Max Holloway vs. Calvin Kattar. Holloway enters the octagon ranked first in the featherweight rankings, while Kattar is ranked sixth in the division. We are here to breakdown the odds on that fight and a couple others on the card that might be of interest. As always, odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Max Holloway vs. Calvin Kattar

This is a fight that features two of the best fighters in the featherweight division. Holloway enters Fight Island with a professional fighting record of 21-6 and as the favorite (-162) over Kattar. He is receiving 42% of the handle and 73% of bets. “Blessed” Holloway last fought in July at UFC 251, where he lost by a split decision to the featherweight champion, Alexander Volkanovski.

The 29-year-old has not won a match since April 2019 at UFC 240, where he defeated Frankie Edgar by unanimous decision. Out of Holloway’s 21 wins in his career, 10 of them have been by TKO/KO.

As for Kattar, he walks into the octagon as the underdog (+138). The 32-year-old fighter has a professional fighting record of 22-4. The Massachusetts’ native has won two-straight bouts by unanimous and a second round knockout. Furthermore, it would not be surprising to see the “Boston Finisher” go the distance and possibly win the fight as he’s only lost two UFC bouts in three years.

Kattar-Holloway winning method splits

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Calvin Kattar By Submission +1400 0.2% 1%
Max Holloway By Decision +130 18% 39%
Max Holloway By KO, TKO or DQ +450 10% 16%
Tie +5000 1% 5%
Calvin Kattar By Decision +333 7% 17%
Calvin Kattar By KO, TKO or DQ +350 64% 21%
Max Holloway By Submission +1200 1% 3%

Joaquin Buckley vs. Alessio Di Chirico

Buckley v. Chirico is one of six matches on the preliminary card Saturday. The 26-year-old fighter enters as the overwhelming favorite (-278), with a professional fighting record of 12-3. He is receiving 96% of the handle and 94% of the bets. Surprisingly, this is only “New Mansa” Buckley’s fourth-ever UFC event. In his last bout at UFC 255, the Missouri native landed a second-round knockout over Jordan Wright. It was the 26-year-old’s second-straight victory by knockout in the second round.

As for Di Chirico, he walks into the prelim bout as the underdog (+215). The 31-year-old fighter from Italy has a professional fighting record of 12-5. “Manzo” has lost three-straight bouts all by unanimous decision. The Italian mixed martial artist has not won a fight inside the octagon since Jul. 2018 at the Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale.

Wu Yanan vs. Joselyne Edwards

In one of the two women’s bantamweight bouts, Wu Yunan will take on Joselyne Edwards in the prelims. Neither Yanan or Edwards enter as the favorite as their odds are currently set at -110. But Edwards is receiving 72% of the handle and 61% of the bets. Yunan is receiving 28% of the handle and 39% of the bets.

Yanan has a professional fighting record of 11-3, but hasn’t fought since 2019 at UFC Fight Night 157. At that event, she lost by split decision to Mizuki Inoue. Her last win happened at UFC Fight 141 in Nov. 2018.

“La Pantera” Edwards walks into the octagon with a professional fighting record of 9-2. This will be her first UFC fight as she’s toured the minor league circuit for five years. In her last fight at UWC Mexico 22 in July, Edwards defeated Pamela Gonzalez by knockout in the first round.

UFC on ABC 1 betting splits

Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Austin Lingo -230 92% 90%
Jacob Kilburn +180 8% 10%
Vanessa Melo +180 36% 21%
Sarah Moras -230 64% 79%
David Zawada +210 13% 13%
Ramazan Emeev -275 87% 87%
Carlos Felipe -190 70% 74%
Justin Tafa +155 30% 26%
Joselyne Edwards -110 72% 61%
Yanan Wu -110 28% 39%
Phil Hawes -134 49% 59%
Nassourdine Imavov +108 51% 41%
Dusko Todorovic -159 67% 69%
Punahele Soriano +130 33% 31%
Joaquin Buckley -278 96% 94%
Alessio Di Chirico +215 4% 6%
Santiago Ponzinibbio -305 91% 89%
Li Jingliang +240 9% 11%
Matt Brown +145 22% 31%
Carlos Condit -177 78% 69%
Max Holloway -162 42% 73%
Calvin Kattar +138 58% 27%

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