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How the public is betting the Browns vs. Chiefs in the Divisional round

We break down the betting splits for Browns and Chiefs matchup in the Divisional round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs.

Sportsbook Plays to consider for CLE at KC

The Cleveland Browns pulled off an upset against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card Round but now they'll have to take on the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in the Divisional Round at 3:05 p.m. on Sunday. The home team is a heavy favorite ahead of this matchup, but anything could happen.

So where are sports bettors going for this Browns vs. Chiefs matchup as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Point Spread

The Chiefs are favored by 10 points in this contest, with the public placing 43% of point spread bets on the Chiefs to cover with 46% of the handle. Conversely, 57% of point spread bets for this contest are on the Browns to cover, with 54% of the handle.

Is the public right?

I think picking the Chiefs on the moneyline is the obvious choice here. Cleveland has been below-average against the pass on defense all year and is up against arguably the most dynamic passing attack in the NFL. The Browns do have a shot at covering the spread because of their running game, which is well equipped to run the clock and keep Patrick Mahomes off the field.

Over/Under

The over/under for this Divisional playoff game is set at 57 points. Bettors are placing 70% of bets for the point total on the over with 81% of the handle.

Is the public right?

I can see it makes sense for bettors to lean on the over here. The Chiefs have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL and scored the fifth-most points during the regular season. The Browns ranked 14th in total points during the regular season but have eclipsed 30 points eight times in 2020. It’s clear that Kansas City is expected to carry most of the scoring load, but I’m not sure Cleveland will try to keep pace with the Chiefs. I think 57.5 points is a little lofty for a point total.

Moneyline

The Chiefs moneyline is set at -480 and is receiving 77% of bets and 65% of the handle. The Browns moneyline is set at +390, receiving 23% of moneyline bets with 35% of the handle.

Is the public right?

Kansas City was only beaten once in the regular season so it’s not surprising to see that they command an overwhelming amount of the handle and total bets. While the Chiefs have come close to losing on several occasions this season they’ve proven to be capable of coming through in the clutch far more often than not. The public is right here.

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