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Public betting splits and line movement for Orange Bowl: Texas A&M vs. UNC

We break down the public betting splits and how the lines have moved for Texas A&M vs. UNC in the Orange Bowl.

Texas A&M Aggies take the field before the game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Kyle Field on October 31, 2020 in College Station, Texas. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images

The last bowl game of the 2020-21 season is Saturday night at 8 p.m., as the Texas A&M Aggies face the North Carolina Tar Heels from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. And despite what the cutaway shots during the game might show you, the game is nowhere near South Beach.

The No. 5 Texas A&M Aggies were 8-1 in 2020, and felt they deserved inclusion in the College Football Playoff. And their only loss being a 52-24 setback to Alabama might have proved their case after what the Crimson Tide did to Notre Dame last night in the Rose Bowl.

But North Carolina? They’re 8-3 still somehow got in a big bowl game despite Coastal Carolina, Louisiana, and Indiana all likely having a better case. But they’re also in form, with a 62-26 win over Miami to close the season. However they’re missing a ton of players for the Orange Bowl tonight.

So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Point Spread

Right now Texas A&M is a 7.5-point favorite, with a whopping 91% of the handle and 89% of the bets on the Aggies.

Is the public right?

With all the injuries and opt-outs to the Tar Heels, very likely. Mack Brown comes back to Miami for his second game in a row with a very shorthanded squad. !uarterback Sam Howell is missing a lot of targets he’d normally have. This isn’t the same team that dusted Miami, and A&M was better before the roster turnover.

Over/Under

The total is set at 65.5, with 63% of the cash and 74% of the bets on the over.

Is the public right?

Nope! Jimbo Fisher loves to let the air out of the ball with a lead, and UNC could really struggle to score today anyway. While this isn’t the sloth-like offensive pace of Jimbo’s FSU teams, Kellen Mond and the Aggies still aren’t flying up and down the field either (92nd in NCAA in offensive snaps per game).

Moneyline

The Aggies are -278 on the moneyline, with 75% of the cash and 73% of the bets on them. That makes UNC a +220 underdog.

Is the public right?

For sure. There are very few scenarios that see UNC winning this game with the roster they’re bringing. But for the players that did make it... enjoy the gift bags!

Orange Bowl: Texas A&M vs. UNC

Opening line: Texas A&M -5
Current line: Texas A&M -7.5

This line might get to double digits by kickoff. It’s a roster problem in Carolina, and there’s just no way to overcome that if A&M comes out motivated.

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