The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel to the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Sunday. Evans has a slew of prop bets to consider for this matchup over at DraftKings Sporstbook. We’ll take an in-depth look at his props for receptions, yardage and touchdowns below.
Receptions prop: O 4.5 (-124), U 4.5 (+100)
Evans has had more than five receptions in 10 out of 16 games this season, and he’s done it in three out of his last five games. However, last week against the Saints, he was held to just one catch on three targets. And when the Bucs faced off against the Packers back in Week 6, Evans was held to just one catch.
Green Bay’s pass defense has had the NFL’s second-best coverage grade since Week 13. It’s not an easy unit for quarterbacks and receivers to play against. Another thing going against Evans this week is that he’s going to be seeing a lot of cornerback Jaire Alexander, like he did in Week 6.
Receiving yards prop: O/U 63.5 (-112)
Evans had 64 receiving yards or more in seven of 16 games this season. Three of those instances came in his last five games as he and Tom Brady where in sync. However, he struggled last week, gaining just three yards on his one catch.
Like we mentioned above, it’s just too hard to get much going against this pass defense to bet the over. Throw in the fact that Evans is going be shadowed by one of the league’s better cover corners for most of the game, and it’s looking like the Bucs will have to turn to their other receiving options to move the ball through the air.
Touchdown prop: Anytime (+135), First/Last (+1000), 2 or more TDs (+700), 3 or more TDs (+4000)
Evans had 13 touchdowns during the regular season, finding the end zone in 10 of his 16 games. In two playoff games, he’s got one score, coming last week against the Saints. Evans scored twice in three games this season, but he has not scored more than two touchdowns in a game since Week 3 of last season—and he’s only done that once in his career.
Pick: The anytime touchdown is a good bet for Evans this week. As noted above, he’s likely to struggle overall, but the Bucs still tend to use their big man in the red zone. The first/last isn’t a bad bet this week either. He scored the first touchdown last week against the Saints, and with those kind of odds, you can make a big gain on a small bet. There’s no reason to take the two touchdowns or three or more bets; it’s next to impossible against the Packers.
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