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Week 4 is overshadowed by Tom Brady’s return to Foxborough, but there are actually some other interesting matchups from a betting perspective. For one, the Detroit Lions are underdogs as per usual, but bettors are highly betting on their success this week. In another interesting split, the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams are getting bet on hard to hit the over on their point total, but the Rams have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Let’s look at some interesting betting splits for the Week 4 Sunday slate.
CLE/MIN: Point Total 51.5
This split is interesting because the majority of bettors are hitting the over, but they aren’t risking as much money. The under is getting bet only 33% of the time, but the handle of the bets is large which means that bigger money is being wagered. The Cleveland Browns defense is giving up the seventh-fewest amount of points per game, which may be contributing to the under being hit so heavily wager-wise.
DET/CHI Spread, Point Total and Moneyline
This one is just all over the place. First off, the Chicago Bears are favored by three in this game, but bettors are thinking the Lions will cover their +3. Bettors also think that there won’t be a ton of points scored because the total is set at 42 and the under is getting absolutely hammered with big money. Lastly, with the moneyline, bettors are smashing the +120 that the Lions have and this bet has a 92% handle. There is a lot of faith in this 0-3 Lions team off of one bad Bears game.
SEA/SF: Seahawks +3
The Seattle Seahawks are coming off of a loss to the Minnesota Vikings and the San Francisco 49ers are also coming off a loss because they left too much time on the clock for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The 49ers are a -3 point favorite, but bettors are siding with the Seahawks. With 73% of bets going to the Seahawks, bettors are expecting an upset here and are putting down big money for it. The Seahawks defense is giving up the most yards per game in the NFL so bettors may be putting their faith on the wrong side of this one.
ARI/LAR: Point Total 55
The Cardinals and Rams' point total is 55 because their offenses are really good at scoring. These are two top-3 offenses in points scored per game and they are facing off. Interestingly enough though, they also both rank in the top-11 for the fewest points allowed on defense. Bettors are largely favoring the over and are assuming that this game won’t be more of a defensive struggle. This is interesting because if there is a defense that looks like the perfect counter to the Cardinals' versatile offense, it would be the Rams. This one may not be as high-scoring as bettors are hoping.
Odds and splits below are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 4 betting splits for Sunday’s slate
2021 NFL betting splits, Week 4 Friday
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| CAR Panthers | +4 | 24% | 32% | Over 51.5 | 57% | 71% | +175 | 30% | 32% |
| DAL Cowboys | -4 | 76% | 68% | Under 51.5 | 43% | 29% | -210 | 70% | 68% |
| CLE Browns | -2 | 60% | 62% | Over 51.5 | 30% | 67% | -135 | 48% | 53% |
| MIN Vikings | +2 | 40% | 38% | Under 51.5 | 70% | 33% | +115 | 52% | 47% |
| DET Lions | +3 | 87% | 81% | Over 42.0 | 14% | 44% | +120 | 92% | 72% |
| CHI Bears | -3 | 13% | 19% | Under 42.0 | 86% | 56% | -140 | 8% | 28% |
| HOU Texans | +16.5 | 28% | 50% | Over 47.0 | 57% | 72% | +800 | 20% | 7% |
| BUF Bills | -16.5 | 72% | 50% | Under 47.0 | 43% | 28% | -1375 | 80% | 93% |
| IND Colts | +2 | 60% | 62% | Over 42.5 | 42% | 69% | +110 | 84% | 70% |
| MIA Dolphins | -2 | 40% | 38% | Under 42.5 | 58% | 31% | -130 | 16% | 30% |
| KC Chiefs | -7 | 98% | 93% | Over 54.0 | 71% | 71% | -310 | 95% | 96% |
| PHI Eagles | +7 | 2% | 7% | Under 54.0 | 29% | 29% | +245 | 5% | 4% |
| NY Giants | +7.5 | 27% | 32% | Over 42.0 | 42% | 63% | +260 | 10% | 8% |
| NO Saints | -7.5 | 73% | 68% | Under 42.0 | 58% | 37% | -335 | 90% | 92% |
| TEN Titans | -7 | 89% | 95% | Over 45.0 | 36% | 37% | -335 | 97% | 97% |
| NY Jets | +7 | 11% | 5% | Under 45.0 | 64% | 63% | +260 | 3% | 3% |
| WAS Football Team | -1 | 54% | 60% | Over 47.5 | 58% | 25% | -120 | 56% | 56% |
| ATL Falcons | +1 | 46% | 40% | Under 47.5 | 42% | 75% | +100 | 44% | 44% |
| ARI Cardinals | +4 | 38% | 45% | Over 55.0 | 88% | 80% | +180 | 60% | 29% |
| LA Rams | -4 | 62% | 55% | Under 55.0 | 12% | 20% | -220 | 40% | 71% |
| SEA Seahawks | +3 | 86% | 73% | Over 51.5 | 87% | 62% | +135 | 86% | 67% |
| SF 49ers | -3 | 14% | 27% | Under 51.5 | 13% | 38% | -155 | 14% | 33% |
| BAL Ravens | +1 | 68% | 72% | Over 45.5 | 53% | 74% | -105 | 88% | 81% |
| DEN Broncos | -1 | 32% | 28% | Under 45.5 | 47% | 26% | -115 | 12% | 19% |
| PIT Steelers | +6.5 | 6% | 15% | Over 45.5 | 79% | 81% | +230 | 9% | 7% |
| GB Packers | -6.5 | 94% | 85% | Under 45.5 | 21% | 19% | -290 | 91% | 93% |
| TB Buccaneers | -6.5 | 97% | 94% | Over 49.0 | 76% | 62% | -280 | 96% | 97% |
| NE Patriots | +6.5 | 3% | 6% | Under 49.0 | 24% | 38% | +225 | 4% | 3% |
| LV Raiders | +3 | 49% | 50% | Over 52.0 | 62% | 61% | +145 | 64% | 50% |
| LA Chargers | -3 | 51% | 50% | Under 52.0 | 38% | 39% | -165 | 36% | 50% |
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