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With road wins over the Indiana Hoosiers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, plenty of eyeballs will be on the No. 3 Cincinnati Bearcats as long as they keep on winning. They will get a home matchup against the UCF Knights on Saturday afternoon as three-touchdown favorites.
Here’s all the data you’ll want, and a pick for the game!
SP+ Rankings
Cincinnati: 13 overall, 37 offense, 9 defense
UCF: 53 overall, 22 offense, 88 defense
Injury update
Cincinnati
WR Jadon Thompson - Questionable (undisclosed)
UCF
DL Kalia Davis - Out for the season (knee)
WR Dionte Marks - Questionable (leg)
WR Jaylon Robinson - Questionable (undisclosed)
DL Ricky Barber - Questionable (undisclosed)
ATS/Total
Against The Spread
Cincinnati: 4-1 ATS
UCF: 1-4 ATS
Total
Cincinnati: Over 3-2
UCF: Over 3-1-1
Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports
Cincinnati: 48 overall, 50 offense, 50 defense
UCF: 62 overall, 53 offense, 67 defense
Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread: Cincinnati -21.5
Total: 56.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -1500, UCF +850
Opening line: Cincinnati -16
Opening total: 56.5
Weather
61 degrees, 10 MPH wind, 62% chance of rain
The Pick
UCF +21.5
I probably wouldn’t take the Knights here if the spread never moved from where it opened, but now there’s a ton of value on UCF with a full three touchdowns. The Knights’ two losses this season were by a single possession, and they lost by just three points in the last two games against Cincinnati. UCF ranks No. 12 in yards per rush attempt against FBS opponents and if they go run-heavy to limit possessions, the Knights have a great chance to cover this number even though the Bearcats should be in blowout mode the rest of the season.
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