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Breaking down early odds for Yankees vs. Red Sox in AL Wild Card game

We got over the initial lines and odds on DraftKings Sportsbook for New York vs. Boston on Tuesday night.

Xander Bogaerts #2, Kyle Schwarber #18 and Enrique Hernandez #5 of the Boston Red Sox celebrate as they walk off the field against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on October 02, 2021 in Washington, DC. Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox will renew their postseason rivalry in the AL Wild Card game on Tuesday, October 5th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Yankees and Red Sox each clinched playoff berths on the final day of the season. The Yanks walked it off against the Tampa Bay Rays at home while the Red Sox got a two-run blast from Rafael Devers in the 9th to beat the Washington Nationals. Let’s take a look at the opening lines on DraftKings Sportsbook for the AL WC game.

Yankees vs. Red Sox odds

Run line: NYY -1.5 (+135), BOS +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under: 8.5
Moneyline: NYY -130, BOS +110

Here are betting splits provided by DKSB for the AL WC game:

AL WC Betting Splits

Teams Run Line % Handle % Bets Total Runs % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
Teams Run Line % Handle % Bets Total Runs % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
NY Yankees -1.5 67% 58% Over 8.0 34% 51% -125 72% 61%
BOS Red Sox 1.5 33% 42% Under 8.0 66% 49% +105 28% 39%

Tuesday update — JD Martinez has been ruled out for the AL Wild Card game for the Red Sox. We’ve seen a little more line movement, but nothing huge as of now. Lineups should be out soon for both teams.

Tuesday update — We didn’t have any movement on the lines yet, though we’re still waiting to see what 26-man rosters look like for each team. We also need to get lineups for both sides as well. Until then, we’ll have to wait a bit. DKSB will likely provide some betting splits we can toss your way when we get that info. Stay tuned.

Monday update — Like the NL Wild Card game, the Yanks-Red Sox lines have moved a bit overnight. The Red Sox are at +105 after opening at +100 on the ML. There’s also been a shift on the run line slightly. We’ll keep an eye on these as we approach Tuesday, but chances are we don’t see too much movement until lineups are released and some injuries are sorted out.

It is worth noting JD Martinez is questionable for the Red Sox. That’s a pretty big bat to take out of the lineup against Cole. If Martinez can’t play, we could see movement in favor of the Yankees. If you were on the Bronx Bombers before this news, getting the line now makes some sense.

It’s pretty surprising to see the Red Sox open as moneyline dogs at home in the playoffs. The thinking behind this may have something to do with recency bias. The Yankees recently swept the Red Sox at Fenway and have Gerrit Cole on the mound in a huge spot. While Cole is one of the best pitchers in baseball, he hasn’t had a great season vs. the Sox. In four games, Cole has a 4.91 ERA with 5 HRs allowed and 9 BBs over 22 IP. Cole also looked shaky in his previous start against the Toronto Blue Jays. Still, it’s hard to predict things in the postseason.

The Red Sox are expected to have Nathan Eovaldi on the mound in the WC game. He would almost be on a weeks worth of rest heading into the contest. Eovaldi has appeared in six games against the Yankees this season, going 2-2 with a 3.71 ERA with 34 Ks in 34 IP. He’s also a former Yankee, so there’s a bit of narrative there. Perhaps this is the game that really sparks the return of the rivalry in the postseason.

Both offenses can mash, so there’s no surprise the O/U is high at 8.5 runs. We could see that bet down a bit considering it’s the playoffs. It’s just difficult considering what the Yankees did at Fenway Park not too long ago. Giancarlo Stanton singlehandedly swept the Sox with 3 HRs and 10 RBI in three games.