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Full list of Week 5 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We run through all 16 games on the Week 5 schedule. We split them up based on high, medium, low, and no confidence.

Baker Mayfield #6 of the Cleveland Browns passes the ball in the fourth quarter of the game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on October 3, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

The NFL is back for Week 5! We no longer get the clean quarter-point that a 16-game schedule provides, but we’re more or less at the quarter-point of the 2021 NFL season. Conclusions can be drawn, and while plenty will be proven wrong over the next three months, that shouldn’t stop us!

This week opens with a huge Thursday Night Football contest in the NFC West as the Seahawks host the Rams. The 49ers and Cardinals also face off this week making for a busy week of divisional re-shuffling a possibility. Beyond that, two of the biggest games of the week involve the AFC North. The Browns travel to face the Chargers while the Bengals host the Packers. All four teams are 3-1 heading into Week 5, and we can safely say at least one of those teams is a bit of a surprise at 3-1.

We’re back for our weekly Thursday straight-up picks. We are offering basic straight-up winner picks, but with confidence levels — high, medium, low, and no. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicate a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win.

Last week, I went 8-8 on my picks, including a not so impressive 2-2 on my high confidence picks. The Jets upset was missed by plenty, but I was also clearly underestimating the Cardinals. On to this week’s picks!

High confidence (11-4)

Vikings over Lions
Bucs over Dolphins
Patriots over Texans

Medium confidence (14-9)

Saints over Washington
Panthers over Eagles
Titans over Jaguars
Cowboys over Giants
Cardinals over 49ers
Ravens over Colts

Low confidence (9-8)

Seahawks over Rams***
Broncos over Steelers***
Packers over Bengals
Raiders over Bears
Browns over Chargers***

No confidence (3-6)

Chiefs over Bills
Falcons over Jets (moved from medium to no confidence. Forgot it’s neutral site and now Calvin Ridley won’t be playing. What a mess).

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