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One of the best teams in college football will take on one of the worst when the Alabama Crimson Tide host the New Mexico State Aggies on Saturday, November 13th. Alabama will be in the College Football Playoff if they can win each of their final four games including the SEC title game, while New Mexico State lost each of their last nine games against FBS opponents and did not play in 2020.
Here’s all the data you’ll want, and a pick for the game!
SP+ Rankings
Alabama: 3 overall, 3 offense, 9 defense
New Mexico State: 129 overall, 121 offense, 129 defense
Injury update
Alabama
OL Darrian Dalcourt - Questionable (ankle)
TE Kendall Randolph - Questionable (ankle)
LB Keanu Koht - Questionable (foot)
New Mexico State
No new injuries to report
ATS/Total
Against The Spread
Alabama: 5-3 ATS
New Mexico State: 6-2 ATS
Total
Alabama: Over 5-3
New Mexico State: Over 5-3
Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports
Alabama: 1 overall, 1 offense, 1 defense
New Mexico State: 127 overall, 126 offense, 130 defense
Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread: Alabama -51.5
Total: 67
Opening line: Alabama -50
Opening total: 67.5
Weather
54 degrees, 10 MPH wind, 2% chance of rain
The Pick
Under 67
Believe it or not, there are not a whole lot of statistics that show where New Mexico State has an advantage, and it’s tough to expect any team to win a game by at least 52 points, so let’s go after the point total. It’s tough to imagine New Mexico State scores all that much with an offense that ranks No. 118 in yards per play nationally. Alabama doesn’t run the ball all that well, but they should keep the ball on the ground to get this one over with as quickly as possible and cash this under.
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