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NFL MVP odds: Tom Brady beats Bills, Josh Allen in Week 14

Bucs QB remains the favorite to win NFL MVP after Tampa Bay held on to beat Buffalo on Sunday. We break down his odds on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers celebrates a 58-yard game-winning touchdown pass to Breshad Perriman #16 (not pictured) in overtime against the Buffalo Bills at Raymond James Stadium on December 12, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

Should we just give Tom Brady NFL MVP now? It’s to the point where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB will probably run away the award for the fourth time in his career. In the last big test for Tampa Bay, the Bucs picked up a 33-27 win on Sunday in Week 14. Brady was cold in the second half but the Bucs held on in the end. He threw for 363 yards and a pair of TDs while also scoring one on the ground. At 10-3, it’s looking more and more like the Bucs will get the No. 1 overall seed with four games to play.

Tom Brady NFL MVP odds: -150

Brady sticks as the favorite after jumping from +175 to -150 heading into Week 15. The rest of the Bucs schedule is kind of a joke, so don’t be shocked if Brady just runs away with it from here. Tampa Bay’s final four games are as follows:

Week 15: vs. the New Orleans Saints
Week 16: @ Carolina Panthers
Week 17: @ New York Jets (yikes)
Week 18: vs. Carolina Panthers

So there’s a very strong chance the Bucs run the table. That may actually be a negative for Brady if he simply sits the final game of the season? It really depends on the Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers. If Brady plays this schedule out, he should set a career high in passing yards. If he performs at his average the next four games, Brady would finish with 5,391 passing yards, which would come close to beating Peyton Manning’s record of 5,477.

It’s going to be tough to make a case against giving the award to Brady at the end of the season. Aaron Rodgers has the best shot but he’s not putting up career numbers at age 44 like Brady.

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