The most anticipated matchup of Week 13 will take place in Buffalo between the 8-4 Patriots and the 7-4 Bills. First place in the AFC East will be on the line when these teams kick off on Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Here, we’ll take a look at our picks for best bets for the Patriots-Bills in Week 13 of the NFL season. Odds come via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Patriots vs. Bills odds
Spread: Bills -3
Point total: 42
Moneyline: Bills -140, Patriots +120
Our picks for Patriots vs. Bills
Pick against the spread: Patriots +3
Is there any team playing better right now than the New England Patriots? Riding a six-game winning streak, the Pats have outscored their opponents 130-26 over the past four weeks. They are 5-0 on the road this year, 4-1 ATS. Quarterback Mac Jones is keeping everything on schedule, the RB duo of Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson will help keep Buffalo’s offense off the field, and the Patriots’ advantageous defense will force mistakes from Bills QB Josh Allen. He has committed eight turnovers in his previous four games while New England has racked up four takeaways in each of the past two weeks.
Over/under: Under 42
The Patriots’ defense isn’t the only thing that could limit the oscoring in this game. The current forecast for Monday night in Buffalo calls for a 60 percent chance of percipitation — rain early switching to snow later — accompanied by 20+ mph winds in sub-freezing temperatures. It’s odd that Buffalo’s dangerous offense is involved in the second-lowest O/U of the week, but three of their past five games went under this number, and those came against weaker teams in much more favorable conditions.
Preferred player prop: Josh Allen under 237.5 yards passing.
Ralph Wilson stadium has projected 55 mph gusts with rain and snow, while the Patriots have only allowed three QBs to top 237.5 yards passing this season.
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