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What are the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history?

We take a look at some of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history.

Tom Brady of the New England Patriots runs onto the field before the AFC Wild Card Playoff game against the Tennessee Titans at Gillette Stadium on January 04, 2020 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

The Super Bowl 55 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers is expected to be a close game, but that’s not always the case for the biggest game in football. A couple of teams have pulled off some improbable upsets as massive underdogs, and Tom Brady was right at the center of two of the bigger upsets in Super Bowl history during his time with the New England Patriots. Let’s take a look at some of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history so far.

The New York Jets’ victory over the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl III remains the biggest upset in the history of the title game. New York entered the game as an 18-point underdog but ended up claiming a 16-7 victory behind the efforts of Jets legend Joe Namath. The game was far from a barn burner and fell well beneath the point total over/under of 40.

Brady has been on both sides of the spectrum when it comes to Super Bowl upsets. He led New England to a 20-17 victory over the St. Louis Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI as a 14-point underdog. It was his first-ever Super Bowl appearance and his stats were modest, but it marked the beginning of his legacy. Brady’s Patriots were late 12.5-point favorites in Super Bowl XLII against the New York Giants, but David Tyree’s infamous helmet catch helped an underdog team led by Eli Manning come out on top.

The Chiefs have also managed to pull off an impressive comeback on the final stage. They were able to beat the Minnesota Vikings 23-7 in Super Bowl IV despite entering the matchup as a 12-point underdog. It was the first of Kansas City’s two Super Bowls. Patrick Mahomes and company will attempt to increase that total to three by repeating as champions in Super Bowl 55.

History of Super Bowl odds

Season/ SB Num Date Favorite (seed) Spread Underdog (seed) Over/ Under Winning Team Score ATS Result
Season/ SB Num Date Favorite (seed) Spread Underdog (seed) Over/ Under Winning Team Score ATS Result
2019 LIV 02/02/20 Kansas City Chiefs (2) -2 San Francisco 49ers (1) 53 Kansas City Chiefs 31-20 Favorite- Under
2018 LIII 02/03/19 New England Patriots (2) -2.5 Los Angeles Rams (2) 56 New England Patriots 13-3 Favorite- Under
2017 LII 02/04/18 New England Patriots (1) -4 Philadelphia Eagles (1) 49.5 Philadelphia Eagles 41-33 Underdog- Over
2016 LI 02/05/17 New England Patriots (1) -3 Atlanta Falcons (2) 57 New England Patriots 34-28 Favorite- Over
2015 50 02/06/16 Carolina Panthers (1) -5 Denver Broncos (1) 43.5 Denver Broncos 24-10 Underdog- Under
2014 XLIX 02/01/15 Seattle Seahawks (1) -1 New England Patriots (1) 47.5 New England Patriots 28-24 Underdog- Over
2013 XLVIII 02/02/14 Denver Broncos (1) -2.5 Seattle Seahawks (1) 47.5 Seattle Seahawks 43-8 Underdog- Over
2012 XLVII 02/03/13 San Francisco 49ers (2) -4.5 Baltimore Ravens (4) 47.5 Baltimore Ravens 34-31 Underdog- Over
2011 XLVI 02/05/12 New England Patriots (1) -3 New York Giants (4) 53 New York Giants 21-17 Underdog- Under
2010 XLV 02/06/11 Green Bay Packers (6) -3 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) 45 Green Bay Packers 31-25 Favorite- Over
2009 XLIV 02/07/10 Indianapolis Colts (1) -4.5 New Orleans Saints (1) 56.5 New Orleans Saints 31-17 Underdog- Under
2008 XLIII 02/01/09 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) -6.5 Arizona Cardinals (4) 46.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 27-23 Underdog- Over
2007 XLII 02/03/08 New England Patriots (1) -12.5 New York Giants (5) 54.5 New York Giants 17-14 Underdog- Under
2006 XLI 02/04/07 Indianapolis Colts (3) -6.5 Chicago Bears (1) 47 Indianapolis Colts 29-17 Favorite- Under
2005 XL 02/05/06 Pittsburgh Steelers (6) -4 Seattle Seahawks (1) 47 Pittsburgh Steelers 21-10 Favorite- Under
2004 XXXIX 02/06/05 New England Patriots (2) -7 Philadelphia Eagles (1) 47 New England Patriots 24-21 Underdog- Under
2003 XXXVIII 02/01/04 New England Patriots (1) -7 Carolina Panthers (3) 38 New England Patriots 32-29 Underdog- Over
2002 XXXVII 01/26/03 Oakland Raiders (1) -3.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2) 44 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-21 Underdog- Over
2001 XXXVI 02/03/02 St Louis Rams (1) -14 New England Patriots (2) 53 New England Patriots 20-17 Underdog- Under
2000 XXXV 01/28/01 Baltimore Ravens (4) -3 New York Giants (1) 33.5 Baltimore Ravens 34-7 Favorite- Over
1999 XXXIV 01/30/00 St Louis Rams (1) -7 Tennessee Titans (4) 48 St Louis Rams 23-16 Push- Under
1998 XXXIII 01/31/99 Denver Broncos (1) -7.5 Atlanta Falcons (2) 51.5 Denver Broncos 34-19 Favorite- Over
1997 XXXIII 01/25/98 Green Bay Packers (2) -11.5 Denver Broncos (4) 49 Denver Broncos 31-24 Underdog- Over
1996 XXXI 01/26/97 Green Bay Packers (1) -14 New England Patriots (2) 49 Green Bay Packers 35-21 Push- Over
1995 XXX 01/28/96 Dallas Cowboys (1) -13.5 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) 52 Dallas Cowboys 27-17 Underdog- Under
1994 XXIX 01/29/95 San Francisco 49ers (1) -18 San Diego Chargers (2) 54 San Francisco 49ers 49-26 Favorite- Over
1993 XXVIII 01/30/94 Dallas Cowboys (1) -10.5 Buffalo Bills (1) 50.5 Dallas Cowboys 30-13 Favorite- Under
1992 XXVII 01/31/93 Dallas Cowboys (2) -6 Buffalo Bills (4) 45 Dallas Cowboys 52-17 Favorite- Over
1991 XXVI 01/26/92 Washington Redskins (1) -7.5 Buffalo Bills (1) 49 Washington Redskins 37-24 Favorite- Over
1990 XXV 01/27/91 Buffalo Bills (1) -6.5 New York Giants (2) 40.5 New York Giants 20-19 Underdog- Under
1989 XXIV 01/28/90 San Francisco 49ers (1) -11.5 Denver Broncos (1) 47 San Francisco 49ers 55-10 Favorite- Over
1988 XXIII 01/22/89 San Francisco 49ers (2) -7 Cincinnati Bengals (1) 47.5 San Francisco 49ers 20-16 Underdog- Under
1987 XXII 01/31/88 Denver Broncos (1) -3 Washington Redskins (3) 47 Washington Redskins 42-10 Underdog- Over
1986 XXI 01/25/87 New York Giants (1) -8.5 Denver Broncos (2) 40.5 New York Giants 39-20 Favorite- Over
1985 XX 01/26/86 Chicago Bears (1) -10 New England Patriots (5) 37 Chicago Bears 46-10 Favorite- Over
1984 XIX 01/20/85 San Francisco 49ers (1) -3.5 Miami Dolphins (1) 53.5 San Francisco 49ers 38-16 Favorite- Over
1983 XVIII 01/22/84 Washington Redskins (1) -3 Los Angeles Raiders (1) 48 Los Angeles Raiders 38-9 Underdog- Under
1982 XVII 01/30/83 Miami Dolphins (2) -3 Washington Redskins (1) 36.5 Washington Redskins 27-17 Underdog- Over
1981 XVI 01/24/82 San Francisco 49ers (1) -1 Cincinnati Bengals (1) 48 San Francisco 49ers 26-21 Favorite- Under
1980 XV 01/25/81 Philadelphia Eagles (2) -3 Oakland Raiders (4) 37.5 Oakland Raiders 27-10 Underdog- Under
1979 XIV 01/20/80 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) -10.5 Los Angeles Rams (3) 36 Pittsburgh Steelers 31-19 Favorite- Over
1978 XIII 01/21/79 Pittsburgh Steelers (1) -3.5 Dallas Cowboys (2) 37 Pittsburgh Steelers 35-31 Favorite- Over
1977 XII 01/15/78 Dallas Cowboys (1) -6 Denver Broncos (1) 39 Dallas Cowboys 27-10 Favorite- Under
1976 XI 01/09/77 Oakland Raiders (1) -4 Minnesota Vikings (1) 38 Oakland Raiders 32-14 Favorite- Over
1975 X 01/18/76 Pittsburgh Steelers (1) -7 Dallas Cowboys (4) 36 Pittsburgh Steelers 21-17 Underdog- Over
1974 IX 01/12/75 Pittsburgh Steelers (3) -3 Minnesota Vikings (1) 33 Pittsburgh Steelers 16-6 Favorite- Under
1973 VIII 01/13/74 Miami Dolphins (1) -6.5 Minnesota Vikings (1) 33 Miami Dolphins 24-7 Favorite- Under
1972 VII 01/14/73 Miami Dolphins (1) -1 Washington Redskins (1) 33 Miami Dolphins 14-7 Favorite- Under
1971 VI 01/16/72 Dallas Cowboys (2) -6 Miami Dolphins (2) 34 Dallas Cowboys 24-3 Favorite- Under
1970 V 01/17/71 Baltimore Colts (1) -2.5 Dallas Cowboys (3) 36 Baltimore Colts 16-13 Favorite- Under
1969 IV 01/11/70 Minnesota Vikings (1) -12 Kansas City Chiefs (3) 39 Kansas City Chiefs 23-7 Underdog- Under
1968 III 01/12/69 Baltimore Colts (1) -18 New York Jets (2) 40 New York Jets 16-7 Underdog- Under
1967 II 01/14/68 Green Bay Packers (2) -13.5 Oakland Raiders (1) 43 Green Bay Packers 33-14 Favorite- Over
1966 I 01/15/67 Green Bay Packers (1) -14 Kansas City Chiefs (1) Green Bay Packers 35-10 Favorite

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