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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns

Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns meet for the welterweight championship in the main event of UFC 258 on February 13th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

In this handout image provided by UFC, Kamaru Usman of Nigeria celebrates after his victory over Jorge Masvidal in their UFC welterweight championship fight during the UFC 251 event at Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 12, 2020 on Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Saturday night’s main event for UFC 258 features two best fighters in the welterweight division in Kamara Usman and Gilbert Burns.

Usman enters the UFC APEX with an impeccable professional fighting record of 17-1 and the champion of the welterweight class. He is listed as the favorite (-278) over Burns. Usman is receiving 50% of the handle and 60% of bets. “Nigerian Nightmare” Usman last fought in July at UFC 251, where he defeated Jorge Masvidal by unanimous decision.

As for Burns, he walks into the octagon as the underdog (+220). The 34-year-old fighter has a professional fighting record of 19-3 and ranked first in the welterweight division. “Durinho” Burns has won six-straight fights, including his most recent victory over Tyron Woodley last year at UFC on ESPN 9.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns at UFC 258 on February 13th.

Odds and Betting splits

Kamaru Usman: -278 (50% of action, 60% of bets)
Gilbert Burns: +220 (50% of action, 40% of bets)

Winning Method

Kamaru Usman By Decision: +115 (25% of action, 39% of bets)
Kamaru Usman By KO, TKO or DQ: +225 (11% of action, 11% of bets)
Kamaru Usman By Submission: +1800 (5% of action, 6% of bets)
Gilbert Burns By Decision: +550 (3% of action, 19% of bets)
Gilbert Burns By KO, TKO or DQ: +750 (12% of action, 13% of bets)
Gilbert Burns By Submission: +700 (41% of action, 10% of bets)
Tie: +6600 (3% of action, 2% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Kamaru Usman: $9,000
Gilbert Burns: $7,200

If you want to spend a significant amount of your salary on a fighter, then Kamara Usman is the best choice. He hasn’t suffered a loss since 2013, and is a perfect 12-0 in all UFC-related events. The “Nigerian Nightmare” is averaging 125.3 fantasy points per fight and hasn’t score under 100 points since 2018. In his last five bouts, they have all went the distance and he has landed 121.2 significant strikes. That is pure domination and one of the reason’s why he is the champion of this weight class.

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