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In the second middleweight bout on the main card, Kelvin Gastelum will fight Ian Heinisch. Gastelum enters as the notable favorite with the odds currently set at -225. He is receiving 59% of the handle and 68% of the bets.
Gastelum has a professional fighting record of 16-6 (1 NC) and has lost three-straight matches. Despite not having a winning result, he is still ranked ninth in the middleweight division. The 28-year-old last fought in July at UFC Fight Night 172, where he lost to Jack Hermansson in Round 1 by submission.
Heinisch walks into the octagon with a professional fighting record of 14-3 and ranked 15th in the middleweight division. Just like his opponent, Heinisch hasn’t fought since the summer. The 32-year-old was suppose to fight Brendan Allen in November, but the fight was scrapped because Heinisch tested positive for COVID-19. Nevertheless, “The Hurricane” is the underdog (+175) only receiving 41% of the handle and 32% of bets.
Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Kelvin Gastelum vs. Ian Heinisch at UFC 258 on February 13th.
Odds and Betting splits
Kelvin Gastelum: -225 (59% of action, 68% of bets)
Ian Heinisch: +175 (41% of action, 32% of bets)
Winning Method
Kelvin Gastelum By Decision: +110 (10% of action, 43% of bets)
Kelvin Gastelum By KO, TKO or DQ: +400 (47% of action, 13% of bets)
Kelvin Gastelum By Submission: +800 (2% of action, 0% of bets)
Ian Heinisch By Decision: +350 (12% of action, 36% of bets)
Ian Heinisch By KO, TKO or DQ: +650 (27% of action, 7% of bets)
Ian Heinisch By Submission: +1000 (2% of action, 0% of bets)
Tie: +6600 (0% of action, 0% of bets)
DraftKings DFS Values
Kelvin Gastelum: $8,800
Ian Heinisch: $7,400
Between these two ranked fighters, the best play in DFS is Ian “The Hurricane” Heinisch. He is averaging 64.3 fantasy points per fight, but has gone over that total in two of his last four fights. Against Meerschaert in June, Heinisch scored 109 fantasy points as he record a first round knockout. He’s better at grappling than Gastelum with 1.22 takedowns per 15 minutes. Gastelum is the better fighter, but if Heinisch can hang in their for the entire five rounds, then he’ll be worth the salary.
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