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NBA DFS slate breakdown for Saturday, February 27th

We break down a strategy worth considering for DFS contests centered around Saturday’s seven-game main slate on DraftKings.

James Harden of the Brooklyn Nets looks on during the game against the Sacramento Kings on February 23, 2021 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Tuesday’s seven-game NBA slate on DraftKings could be an interesting one. Taking down GPP’s in larger slates can be difficult, so finding edges wherever you can is important. Finding cheap players who take on larger roles than usual because of injuries can be huge, and two games stand because of their potential for low-owned plays. I’ve broken down what under-the-radar players are worth keeping an eye on alongside a few studs ahead of the action.

Games to stack

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers, 7:00 p.m. ET

The Philadelphia 76ers are 11.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of this game, as the Cleveland Cavaliers could be spread extremely thin. Matthew Dellavedova, Kevin Love, Andre Drummond, and Larry Nance Jr. won’t play against the Sixers. Cedi Osman is considered questionable because of back spasms. If Osman is ruled out, the Cavs will only have nine players to work with, and this game could very well be a blowout. Here are a few targets you should keep an eye on.

Dylan Windler ($3,700) is my favorite value option in this game, and he’s flown under the radar despite performing at a very high level lately. The second-year wing has shot 90% from the field over his last two games while converting all nine of his three-point attempts and averaging over 35 DKFP. I don’t expect his ridiculous efficiency to continue. Still, he’s likely to be the first Cav off the bench given their current personnel and has more scoring upside than any other Cleveland reserve.

Dean Wade ($3,300) and Lamar Stevens ($3,300) are also options, but they’re much riskier than Windler. Pairing Darius Garland ($6,600) with a Cav or two over Collins Sexton ($7,500) could be ideal, though. The second-year guard has essentially matched Sexton’s fantasy production over the last 10 days.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. San Antonio Spurs, 8:00 p.m. ET

The Spurs are more understaffed than the Cavaliers. Derrick White, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, and Rudy Gay have been ruled out, while LaMarcus Aldridge is questionable because of wrist soreness. If San Antonio only has eight players available, expect a lot from DeMar DeRozan ($8,000) and Dejounte Murray ($7,900). Keita Bates-Diop ($3,500) is basically the only wing San Antionio will have available off the bench. He notched season highs in points, rebounds, steals, and assists in his last outing to finish with 25.5 DKFP in 20 minutes. He and Lonnie Walker ($4,300) should be on your reader for players under $5K. The Spurs have limited options to deploy against a team with the second-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

Studs to watch

James Harden, Brooklyn Nets ($11,000)

Kyrie Irving (shoulder) will join Kevin Durant (hamstring) on the pine in the Nets’ Saturday game against the Dallas Mavericks in the last game of the night, and that means we could be in for a monster performance from James Harden. Harden racked up over 68 DKFP the last time Irving and KD were out, and that performance came against the Phoenix Suns’ elite defense. Harden is a triple-double threat regardless of who’s on the court with him. He’s the most expensive player on the slate but is well worth his price while his co-stars are out of commission.

Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets ($10,900)

Jokic is the second-most expensive player on the slate and has an even better matchup than Harden. The man who’s scored more fantasy points than any player this season is up against an Oklahoma City defense that ranks last against his position. He was one assist shy of a triple-double and scored 57.25 DKFP the last time he faced the Thunder but could have to do more than usual with Gary Harris, Paul Millsap, and JaMychal Green ruled out. OKC forks up more rebounds to opposing teams than any other squad in the NBA.

It’s possible to build a viable lineup centered around Harden and Jokic if you have the right value pieces around them, and injuries will give you many options capable of striking gold. Good luck!