The Gonzaga Bulldogs will look to keep their historic season intact in the Sweet 16 on Sunday evening when they take on the Creighton Bluejays.
The Zags have been far and away the best team in the nation this season, which is probably why the spread on this game is the largest of any in the Sweet 16 at -13.5 for GU. The point total is sitting at 158, and the moneyline is +700 for the Bluejays and -1115 for Gonzaga.
No. 5 Creighton: 22-8 (14-16 ATS)
November/December: 4-5 ATS
January: 3-5 ATS
February: 3-3 ATS
March: 4-3 ATS
Vs. Total: 13-16-1
In conference: 10-13 ATS
In NCAA Tournament: 1-1 ATS
Creighton has never been this heavy of an underdog this season, in fact, they’ve never even been a double-digit dog at all. The largest spread they’ve seen go against them was +5 against Villanova, which they failed to cover. This marks just the third time they’ve gone into a game as the underdog and are 2-1 ATS in those games.
When it comes to the point total, they tend to hit the under more often than not. They play at a pretty middle-of-the-road tempo, 143rd in the nation, according to KenPom. Still, they aren’t typically in a lot of high-scoring games. Over their last four contests, the total has gone under every single time.
During the regular season, they’ve faced five teams ranked in the top-25 and went 3-2 in them. In the NCAA NET rankings, they’re ranked 25th and have a record of 7-3 against quad one opponents.
No. 1 Gonzaga: 28-0 (14-12-2 ATS)
November/December: 5-4 ATS
January: 3-4-1 ATS
February: 3-3-1 ATS
March: 3-1 ATS
Vs. Total: 15-13 Over
In conference: 7-8-2 ATS
In NCAA Tournament: 2-0 ATS
Gonzaga has dominated everybody straight up this season, but they’ve been a bit inconsistent against the spread. That’s in large part because of the huge spreads they go up against. During the whole season, the Zags have never been an underdog and have been favored by 10 or more points in all but four games. They’ve faced four top-25 teams and won them all.
The Bulldogs run their offense at one of the fastest paces in the nation. Of the 16 teams currently still vying for a national title, they have the fastest overall offensive tempo and possession length. So they get a ton of looks at the basket, and they’re so good so they get a ton of points out of those looks. But because of that, their point total is usually a very high number. They’ve had just one game this season where the point total was below 140 and it’s been set at 150 or higher in six of their last seven games. In that span, the over has hit five times and it’s hit in seven of their last 10 games as well.
The Zags finished the season ranked first overall in the NCAA NET rankings and went 8-0 against Quad 1 opponents.