Before putting your money on either of these teams though, you’ll want to check out this odds history article. It will show you how Michigan and Florida State have done this season against the oddsmakers’ predictions.
Here are the odds and bet splits for No. 4 FSU vs. No. 1 Michigan in the Sweet 16 of the 2021 NCAA Tournament from DraftKings Sportsbook:
Against The Spread
FSU: +2.5 (37% of handle, 39% of bets)
Michigan: -2.5 (63% of handle, 61% of bets)
The public is correct in the sense that this surely won’t be a blowout either way. The Wolverines like to take their time with the basketball in their hands and FSU sits around the middle of the pack in terms of tempo when on offense.
Both offenses are extremely efficient too, with Michigan ranking the 8th best and FSU as the 14th, according to KenPom. That means that even though neither team is going to go at a break-neck speed, they’ll score on most of their looks. Still, the Wolverines are without star senior Isaiah Livers, will their offense be able to keep pace with the Noles?
FSU: +118 (42% of handle, 45% of bets)
Michigan: -139 (58% of handle, 55% of bets)
Is the public right?
Not this time. Michigan has had a fantastic season, but if the first weekend showed us anything, it’s that the Big Ten is a tough overrated. Meaning that even though the Wolverines are a good team, we may have overvalued them a bit. Add in the absence of Livers and a really good Florida State team and this is a recipe for an upset.
Over: 144.0 (27% of handle, 45% of bets)
Under: 144.0 (73% of handle, 55% of bets)
Is the public right?
Yes, the public is absolutely correct here. Michigan plays at one of the slowest paces in the nation, 246th, according to KenPom. That’s the sixth slowest of all the teams still vying for a national title. The Seminoles are faster, but they still sit at the 70th quickest pace in the country. This game isn’t going to be crazy high scoring, even though both offenses are extremely efficient.
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