We’ve wrapped up the Sweet 16 round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament and have our matchups set for the Elite Eight. We’re here to break down the Elite Eight games and how the public is betting them over on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Point spread: Gonzaga (-8.5) is getting 71% of handle, 69% of bets
Point total: Under 154.5 is getting 59% of handle, 58% of bets
Moneyline: Gonzaga (-420) is getting 81% of handle, 79% of bets
Is the public right?
Believe it or not, we’re going with the public on all three of these items. Gonzaga has been dominant all season long, looking to move to 30-0 after Tuesday night’s action, and it would be shocking to see them fail to even reach the Final Four. On the point spread, it’s hard to not go with the Bulldogs again, as they have won 28 of 29 games by at least double digits. It’s been a nice run for USC, but they’re still a No. 6 seed. The total is the trickiest wager of this group with a bit of contrast in styles. Gonzaga will look to push the pace as much as possible, while USC would prefer to limit possessions. Let’s assume this game goes at the Bulldogs’ pace and the over hits as well.
Point spread: Michigan (-7.5) is getting 67% of handle, 60% of bets
Point total: Over 136.0 is getting 64% of handle, 76% of bets
Moneyline: Michigan (-345) is getting 61% of handle, 69% of bets
Is the public right?
Finally some disagreement with the public. Sure, Michigan should definitely win this game outright and while the 7.5 points is a fairly large number in an Elite Eight game, let’s go with the Wolverines to cover this spread as well with defense being the main factor. Michigan will enter with the No. 8 defense in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency, while the Bruins rank No. 54. UCLA benefits with Michigan being without Isaiah Livers, but it’s tough to flip the switch and all of a sudden be an elite defensive unit. Where we’re going to differ with the public is on the total because this game is going under. Neither team plays all that fast as Michigan ranks No. 246 in possessions per game and UCLA is at No. 284. This under should hit with ease.
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