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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya

Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya meet for the light heavyweight championship in the main event of UFC 259 on March 6th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Jan Blachowicz of Poland poses for a post fight portrait backstage during UFC 253 inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on September 27, 2020 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

The fight that everybody has been waiting for will take place on Saturday night in the main event for the light heavyweight championship. Jan Blachowicz enters the UFC APEX with a professional fighting record of 27-8 and as the noticeable underdog (+185). The 38-year-old is receiving 36% of the handle and 32% of the bets.

The veteran fighter is current light heavyweight champion and is ranked 14th in the men’s pound-for-pound rankings. Blachowicz last fought in September at UFC 253, where he defeated Dominick Reyes by technical knockout in Round 2.

As for Adesanya, he walks into the octagon as the favorite (-230), and is receiving 64% of the handle and 68% of bets. The 31-year-old fighter has a perfect professional fighting record of 20-0.

“The Last Stylebender” is the middleweight champion and actually weighed in at 200 lbs. on Friday afternoon despite the 205 lbs. limit for the bout. He’s ranked third in the men’s pound-for-pound rankings. Adesanya last fought at UFC 253 in September, where he defeated Paulo Costa by TKO in Round 2.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya at UFC 259 on March 6th.

Odds and Betting splits

Jan Blachowicz: +185 (36% of action, 32% of bets)
Israel Adesanya: -230 (64% of action, 68% of bets)

Winning Method

Jan Blachowicz By Decision: +800 (4% of action, 9% of bets)
Jan Blachowicz By KO, TKO or DQ: +333 (38% of action, 28% of bets)
Jan Blachowicz By Submission: +800 (2% of action, 4% of bets)
Israel Adesanya By Decision: +250 (11% of action, 20% of bets)
Israel Adesanya By KO, TKO or DQ: +130 (33% of action, 29% of bets)
Israel Adesanya By Submission: +2000 (11% of action, 9% of bets)
Tie: +6600 (1% of action, 1% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Jan Blachowicz: $7,000
Israel Adesanya: $9.200

It’s hard to go against Adesanya, who is undefeated with a record of 20-0. But with only $50K in MMA DFS, it will be tough to fit him and Nunes in the same card. Blachowicz is not a great play in DFS, despite his price as he’s only averaging 69.6 Fantasy Points Per Fight. Meanwhile, Adesanya is averaging 88.7 FPPF in his UFC career and has gone over that threshold in three out of his last four outings.

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