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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Zhang Weili vs. Rose Namajunas

Zhang Weili and Rose Namajunas meet for the women’s strawweight championship on the main card of UFC 261 on April 24. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

(L-R) Zhang Weili of China and Rose Namajunas face off during the ceremonial UFC 261 weigh-in at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on April 23, 2021 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC

In the women’s strawweight championship bout, the co-main event for UFC 261, Zhang Weili will take on Rose Namajunas in the main event Saturday night live from Jacksonville, FL. It’s the second of three title fights on the main card.

The 31-year-old Weili enters as the favorite (-200), while receiving 61% of the handle and 62% of the bets. Weili has a professional fighting record of 21-1 and won 20 straight fights. The Chinese fighter is the champion of the women’s strawweight class and ranked third in the women’s pound-for-pound rankings. She last fought at UFC 248 in March, defeating Joanna Jedrzejczyk by a split decision.

Namajunas walks into the octagon with a professional fighting record of 9-4 and is ranked first in the women’s strawweight division. The 28-year-old is a slight underdog (+165)and is only receiving 39% of the handle and 38% of the bets. “Thug” Namajunas defeated Jessica Andrade by split decision in a rematch last year at UFC 251.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Zhang Weili vs. Rose Namajunas at UFC 261 on April 24.

Odds and Betting splits

Zhang Weili: -200 (61% of action, 62% of bets)
Rose Namajunas: +165 (39% of action, 38% of bets)

Winning Method

Zhang Weili By Decision: +150 (14% of action, 24% of bets)
Zhang Weili By KO, TKO or DQ: +250 (48% of action, 29% of bets)
Zhang Weili By Submission: +1400 (5% of action, 6% of bets)
Rose Namajunas By Decision: +375 (10% of action, 16% of bets)
Rose Namajunas By KO, TKO or DQ: +600 (12% of action, 13% of bets)
Rose Namajunas By Submission: +700 (10% of action, 11% of bets)
Tie: +5000 (1% of action, 1% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Zhang Weili: $9,000
Rose Namajunas: $7,200

Weili is the more accomplished fighter in this championship title fight, but do not count out “Thug” Namajunas on Saturday. The 28-year-old mixed martial artist is averaging 76.7 Fantasy Points Per Fight over her career. In Namajunas’ last five fights, she has won four of them and has gone over her fantasy point average three times. The last time the Wisconsin native competed in a five round match, she won by unanimous decision and scored 79.3 fantasy points.

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