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What odds tell us are the ‘locks’ of the 2021 NFL Draft

The odds suggest a few draft decisions may be pretty close to locks on Thursday.

Garion Thorne’s NFL mock draft top-10

The 2021 NFL Draft has arrived and the Jacksonville Jaguars will end the non-suspense shortly after 8 p.m. ET on Thursday when they select Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence with the No. 1 overall pick. It’s not even really a “worst kept secret” at this point with nobody expecting them to go in another direction.

It’s no surprise then that DraftKings Sportsbook has installed Lawrence going No. 1 overall as the heaviest favorite among its many NFL Draft odds. Lawrence going No. 1 has the same odds as Zach Wilson going No. 2 overall (-10000) with everybody expecting the New York Jets to draft the BYU quarterback once they’re on the clock.

There are few guarantees when it comes to the NFL Draft, but we can get a handle on what oddsmakers think are closer to locks than others. Below is a rundown of the heaviest favorites among various draft prop bets at DraftKings Sportsbook.

We’ve broken them down in order of heaviest to lightest favorites. This might be particularly helpful if you are submitting an entry in DK’s free draft pool. The pool requires participants answer ten questions to claim part of a $50,000 prize pool. First place will split $1,000 in prize money.

NFL Draft odds favorites

Trevor Lawrence going No. 1 overall: -10000
Zach Wilson going No. 2 overall: -10000
Mac Jones a top 10 pick: -1000
Ja’Marr Chase first wide receiver drafted: -1000

Penei Sewell a top 10 pick: -715
Under 1.5 total tight ends drafted in first round: -670
Under 5.5 quarterbacks drafted in first round: -590

Justin Fields a top 10 pick: -500
Trey Lance a top 10 pick: -500
Penei Sewell first offensive lineman drafted: -500
Trevon Moehrig-Woodard first safety drafted: -400
Kyle Pitts a top 5 pick: -400
Micah Parsons first linebacker drafted: -400

Under 2.5 total Pac-12 players drafted in first round: -360
Over 4.5 wide receivers drafted in first round: -335
Mac Jones a top 5 pick: -305
Falcons drafting a tight end with first pick: -305
Kyle Pitts first non-QB drafted: -305
Kyle Pitts under 5.5 draft position: -305

Under 2.5 Big 12 players drafted in first round: -265
Cowboys drafting a cornerback with first pick: -250
Najee Harris first running back drafted: -240
Bengals drafting a wide receiver with first pick: -210
Patrick Surtain II first cornerback drafted: -200

Chargers drafting an offensive lineman with first pick: -182
Dolphins drafting a wide receiver with first pick: -150
Mac Jones going No. 3 overall: -150
Steelers drafting a running back with first pick: -125

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