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How the public is betting No. 11 UCLA vs. No. 1 Gonzaga in NCAA Tournament Final Four

We break down the betting splits for the UCLA Bruins and Gonzaga Bulldogs in the NCAA Tournament Final Four

Gonzaga players celebrate at center court with their trophy after defeating USC during the Elite Eight round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament on Tuesday, March 30, 2021, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind.  IndyStar-USA TODAY Sports

To wrap up the Final Four, the No. 11 seed UCLA Bruins out of the East region will play the No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs from the West region at 8:14 p.m. ET on Saturday night at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Mick Cronin-led Bruins upset the No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines 51-49 in the Elite Eight to advance to the Final Four. The Bruins has also won five-straight contests, going back to the First Four game. The Bulldogs defeated the No. 6 seed USC Trojans 85-66 in the Elite Eight for their 30th consecutive win this season. Gonzaga has been the best team in the country and will try to pull off the feat of winning the national title and staying undefeated (30-0).

Here are the odds and bet splits for No. 11 UCLA vs. No. 1 Gonzaga in the Final Four of the 2021 NCAA Tournament from DraftKings Sportsbook:

Against The Spread

UCLA: +14.5 (19% of handle, 30% of bets)
Gonzaga: -14.5 (81% of handle, 70% of bets)

Is the public right?

Despite the Bruins being one of the best underdog plays in the NCAA Tournament, they do not stand a chance against the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Zags have won 29 games by double digits this season. They are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games as the favorite.

That being said, just because the Zags have won every game by double digits, -14.5 is a lot to cover. The Bruins have played inspired basketball in the NCAA tourney, thanks to Johnny Juzang. UCLA is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games and 5-0 ATS as the underdog.

Moneyline

UCLA: +700 (59% of handle, 49% of bets)
Gonzaga: -1150 (41% of handle, 51% of bets)

Is the public right?

Yes, UCLA has been a great and profitable moneyline play during the NCAA Tournament. In all five tourney games the Bruins have been the underdog.

It seems as if the public wants to capture lightning in the bottle, but it won’t happen on Saturday against the Bulldogs. While Juzang is the main offensive playmaker for UCLA, the Zags have Jalen Suggs, Drew Timme, and Corey Kispert. Those three players can take over a game by themselves or as a formidable trio. It’s also hard to bet against a team who has won 30 straight games for a reason.

Point Total

Over: 145.5 (50% of handle, 54% of bets)
Under: 145.5 (50% of handle, 46% of bets)

Is the public right?

In their last five games, the UCLA Bruins have gone over the 145.5 point total twice — both were overtime wins. As for Gonzaga, they have easily gone over 145.5 points in five straight games. However, the respective point total has gone under in four out of the Zags’ last six games. It’s not surprising to see the public split on the point total, but I’m inclined to lean towards the over. The Bulldogs are the best offensive team in the nation, averaging 91.6 points per game and shooting 54.9% from field goal range this season.

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