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How the public is betting No. 3 Arizona vs. No. 1 Stanford in the 2021 NCAA Women’s Championship game

We take a look at how the public is betting the Arizona vs. Stanford matchup in the 2021 NCAA women’s basketball tournament.

Aari McDonald and Cate Reese of the Arizona Wildcats celebrate with teammates after defeating the UConn Huskies during the third quarter in the Final Four semifinal game of the 2021 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament at the Alamodome on April 02, 2021 in San Antonio, Texas. Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

The last game of the women’s college basketball season is here, and one Pac-12 team will cut down the nets on Sunday evening when the Arizona Wildcats take on the Stanford Cardinal with the national championship on the line.

This game is set to tip Sunday at 6:00 p.m. ET and will air on ESPN.

So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Point Spread

The Stanford Cardinal are a nine-point favorite, with 87% of the handle and 78% of the bets on Stanford to cover the number.

Is the public right?

Nope. You can look back at Stanford’s two dominating wins over Arizona in the regular season (81-54 in Tucson on January 1, 62-48 in Palo Alto on February 22) and think you’re getting a layup here on a neutral floor.

You aren’t because this is an Arizona team that has completely reinvented itself in the postseason. Aari McDonald will be the best player on the floor tonight, and Stanford didn’t exactly impress down the stretch in their win over South Carolina in the Final Four.

The old saw about it being particularly tough to beat a team three times in a season is a bit overrated, but the Wildcats are just a different team than they were during the regular season.

Over/Under

The total is set at 128, with 60% of the handle and 68% of the bets on the over.

Is the public right?

Wrong again. Stanford plays with some tempo, and just put up 66 on a South Carolina team that was one of the best defensively left in the tournament. Arizona will likely try and take some air out of the ball, but with their shotmaking and over 1.00 points per possession in the tournament, they’ll also score enough here.

Moneyline

Stanford is a -420 favorite, with 74% of the action and 63% of the bets on the Cardinal. That makes Arizona a +285 underdog getting 26% of the cash and 37% of the tickets.

Is the public right?

Are they ever? Asking Arizona to win outright is a tall order, but with McDonald being a ball of lava wrapped in gasoline for the last three weeks, it’s very possible she can win this game by herself. She’s got 59 points in the last two games, and there are spots where there’s not a woman alive that can cover her right now.

We’d ride with Arizona if we could here, but will stay away as although we like an Arizona cover, outright at this price seems a bit short. We’d want at least +350 before dipping a toe in here.

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