The New York Yankees’ bats finally came alive at home against the Baltimore Orioles in Monday’s win. We got to witness the first HRs of 2021 from both Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, who had gone hitless up until the point he belted a grand slam to open the game up. The Yankees would go on to win 7-0 to improve to 2-2 on the season. Now, the Orioles have to face off against AL Cy Young favorite Gerrit Cole in his second start of the season.
Moneyline pick: Yankees -286
This is a pretty easy pick. Cole allowed two ER over 5.1 IP with 8 Ks in the season opener against the Toronto Blue Jays. It was a shaky outing by his standards. Last season against the O’s, the Yankees ace had a 2-1 record with a 1.83 ERA and 26 Ks in 19.2 IP. If Cole can work through this weak Orioles lineup, there’s a chance the Yanks stretch him at least 7 innings today. Dean Kremer, the O’s starter, was actually great against the Yankees last season. He’ll make his first start of 2021 and it’s hard to see him outdueling Cole. It’s also only a matter of time before the Yankees lineup starts raking. DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres have had slow starts to the season.
Prop: First 5 Innings Total Runs U4.5 (-117)
As referenced above, Cole and Kremer both have very good numbers in this Yankees-O’s matchup in 2020. If Cole dominates, it’s hard to view the Orioles scoring more than a run or two. While I think the Yankees offense could pop a bit, it may not be until later on in this game if Kremer pitches well. So we can get some action on a pitcher’s duel of sorts with the F5 under and a better line than going after the ML above.
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