The USA picked up 121 medals at the 2016 Olympics: 46 gold, 37 silver, and 38 bronze. That was almost twice the haul of the second-closest nation, China, who went home with 26 gold, 18 silver, and 26 bronze for a total of 70.
But there are plenty new events in this Olympiad, and they seem to lean towards the United States having a better chance at medals.
Baseball and softball have returned, and will be added to surfing (men and women), sport climbing (men and women), skateboarding (park and street for men and women), as well as karate (Kumite in three weight classes for men and women, and Kata as one class for both men and women).
You’ll also see 3-on-3 basketball for the first time, with some names you might know suiting up for both the men and women of the USA.
While Rio de Janeiro 2016 games saw 28 sports with 306 medal events, that goes to 33 sports and 339 events for Tokyo 2021. And with many of them being good for Team USA, there might be some value here. But with 37 of the 339 being swimming, it might come down to how well America does in the pool. And there’s no Michael Phelps heading to Japan.
Here are the odds for the total Olympic medals won by the United States at the Tokyo 2021 Summer Games from DraftKings Sportsbook:
Team USA total 109.5 medals
Team USA total 112.5 medals
New events for Tokyo 2021
Archery (1): Mixed team event
Athletics (1): Mixed 4x400 relay
Baseball (1): (Men only)
Basketball (2): 3-on-3, Men and Women
Swimming (3): Men’s 800 m freestyle, women’s 1500 m freestyle, mixed 4 × 100 m medley relay.
Cycling (4): The Madison (Men and Women), BMX Freestyle (Men and Women)
Fencing (2): Men’s Team Sabre, Women’s Team Foil
Judo (1): Mixed team event
Karate (8): (Kumite, three weight classes for men and women; Kata, men and women).
Skateboarding (4): (Park Men and Women, Street Men and Women)
Softball (1): Women
Sport Climbing (2): Men and Women
Surfing (2): Men and Women
Table Tennis (1): Mixed doubles
Triathlon (1): Mixed team relay
Dropped events from Rio 2016
Weightlifting (1): Weight limits changed, one less men’s class