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Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers go over or under their win total in 2021?

The first season of Tom Brady in Tampa Bay went as well as it can get with a Super Bowl title, and the Buccaneers appear ready for another run in 2021.

NFL: Super Bowl LV-Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Year 1 with Tom Brady playing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers could not have gone any better for both sides as the 2020 season finished with a Super Bowl title. Tampa Bay should be among the favorites to win it all again this upcoming season because the Buccaneers return just about everybody with all 22 starters set to be on the roster as we look ahead to the 2021 season.

We’ll take a look at the latest DraftKings Sportsbook lines and predict if the Buccaneers can beat their 2021 win total. The odds below are as of June 1, 2021.

NFC South win totals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11.5 (Over -125, Under +103)
New Orleans Saints 9 (Over +103, Under -125)
Carolina Panthers 7.5 (Over +110, Under -134)
Atlanta Falcons 7.5 (Over -137, Under +113)

Notable offseason moves

Tampa Bay’s re-signed some huge pieces to their Super Run including edge rusher Shaquil Barrett, who is one of the biggest names in this season’s free agency class, and defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh. Additionally, tight end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Antonio Brown re-signed to a one-year deals with the team.

Tampa Bay did not need a ton in terms of depth in the NFL Draft with so many quality players returning, but they added outside linebacker Joe Tryon with their first round pick and followed that up by taking former Florida Gators quarterback Kyle Trask in Round 2.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction: UNDER 11.5

Despite all the praising we did above with this Tampa Bay roster, we’re still going with the under 11.5 win total here. The Buccaneers should be the favorites to win the NFC South, but oddsmakers project every team has a legitimate shot at the postseason, which could cut into Tampa Bay’s win total with no easy victories in the division.

People will remember the postseason run, but let’s not forget the Buccaneers did not win their own division last year and entered the playoffs as the No. 5 seed in the NFC at 11-5. Maybe Tampa Bay can improve their regular season win total in Year 2 with Tom Brady, but expecting a 12-5 record at minimum is a tough bet given how much can happen over the course of the season including injuries to key positions and a lack of motivation after winning a Super Bowl the previous year.

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