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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori

Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori meet for the middle weight championship in the main event of UFC 263 on June 12. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

(L-R) Opponents Israel Adesanya of Nigeria and Marvin Vettori of Italy face off during the UFC 263 press conference at Arizona Federal Theater on June 10, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

On Saturday night in Glendale, AZ, Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori will face off in the main event at UFC 263 for the middleweight championship. This will be the second time that they will fight inside the octagon. The first bout happened in 2018 at UFC on Fox 29, where Adesanya defeated Vettori by unanimous decision.

“The Italian Dream” Vettori enters the octagon with a professional fighting record of 17-4-1 and as a major underdog +215 odds. The 27-year-old is receiving 19% of the handle and 19% of the bets. Vettori is ranked third in the middleweight division and last fought at UFC on ABC 2 in April, where defeated Kevin Holland by unanimous decision.

Meanwhile, Adesantya enters UFC 263 as the favorite at -215 odds, and is receiving 81% of the handle and 81% of bets. The dynamic mixed martial artist suffered his first pro defeat (20-1) in March at UFC 259, where he lost to Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision. “The Last Stylebender” is the middleweight champion and is ranked fourth in the men’s pound-for-pound rankings.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori at UFC 263 on June 12:

Odds and Betting splits

Israel Adesanya: -275 (81% of action, 81% of bets)
Marvin Vettori: +215 (19% of action, 19% of bets)

Winning Method odds

Israel Adesanya By Decision: +140 (8% of action, 29% of bets)
Israel Adesanya By KO, TKO or DQ: +188 (68% of action, 48% of bets)
Israel Adesanya By Submission: +2000 (4% of action, 5% of bets)
Marvin Vettori By Decision: +375 (4% of action, 6% of bets)
Marvin Vettori By KO, TKO or DQ: +1000 (14% of action, 9% of bets)
Marvin Vettori By Submission: +750 (1% of action, 2% of bets)
Tie: +5000 (1% of action, 1% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Israel Adesanya: $9,300
Marvin Vettori: $6,900

Despite Adesanya coming off his first professional loss, it’s hard to bet against him in UFC 263 on Saturday night. The 31-year-old fighter is one of the best fighters in the UFC and should be one of the mixed martial artists in your DFS lineup. Adesanya is averaging 83.3 fantasy points per fight, but has scored under twice in his last three fights. However, before his loss to Blachowicz, “The Last Stylebender” scored 102.3 FPPF thanks to 55 significant strikes landed and a Round 2 KO/TKO against Paulo Costa.

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