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Breaking down odds for UEFA Euro 2021 favorites, sleepers after one game of group play

We take a look at the early betting odds through the first week of the 2021 UEFA Euro Championship.

Kylian Mbappe of France reacts after being challenged by Mats Hummels of Germany during the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship Group F match between France and Germany at Football Arena Munich on June 15, 2021 in Munich, Germany. Photo by Kai Pfaffenbach - Pool/Getty Images

Every team competing in the 2020 UEFA European Championship has played one group stage game so far, and spectators are getting a feel for what teams have a good chance to go all the way and what teams seem destined to fall by the wayside. Some teams have lived up to expectations, some have fallen short of expectations, and others have them so far. Let’s take a look at the betting odds for each group now that every team in the tournament has played a game.

Group A

Italy opened the tournament as a -186 favorite and improved to -770 following its 3-0 victory over Turkey (+1900) in its first group stage match. Turkey doesn’t seem to be much of a threat after tallying three shots against Italy, so Switzerland (+950) and Wales (+4500) seem like the best betting options to finish second.

Euro 2021 Group A Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Italy -186 -770 -1430 -835 OTB OTB
Wales +1200 +1900 +700 +230 +215 -1667
Switzerland +475 +950 OTB +110 +110 +650
Turkey +540 +4500 OTB +130 +215 OTB

Group B

Group B is more wide open than it should be. Belgium jumped from -139 to -480 following its 3-0 victory against Russia and could continue to get stronger now that Kevin De Bruyne has returned to training. The 29-year-old playmaker takes an already world-class squad to another level with his distribution and shot placement. Denmark (+750), Finland (+1050), and Russia (+4000) will be playing for second place if De Bruyne gets back on the pitch soon. Denmark’s odds to finish inside the top two are -295 despite Christian Eriksen’s heart issues. They are the second-most talented team in the group, but their loss of a key midfielder could give Russia (+190) a good chance to creep in behind Belgium.

Euro 2021 Group B Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Belgium -139 -480 -10000 -835 -3335 OTB
Finland +3000 +1050 +1500 +950 +170 +450
Denmark +260 +750 OTB -295 +140 -106
Russia +525 +4000 OTB +170 +190 +125

Group C

The Netherlands (-400) and Austria (+360) have the best odds to win Group C. The favorite won a 3-2 thriller against Ukraine (+3000) over the weekend, and its defense should get a bump for the rest of the group stage with the return of star center back Matthijs de Ligt. The 21-year-old missed the opening game because of a minor groin injury and will make his country far more formidable. North Macedonia (+20000) shouldn’t be much of a factor in this group. Ukraine’s odds to finish second (+100) are worth considering, though. If they beat North Macedonia easily in their second group stage game, a win against Austria will likely secure a spot in the next stage.

Euro 2021 Group C Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Netherlands -245 -400 TBD -2500 -5000 TBD
Austria +525 +360 TBD -106 -240 TBD
Ukraine +525 +3000 TBD +100 +130 TBD
North Macedonia +4500 +20000 TBD +650 +3500 TBD

Group D

England (-455) and the Czech Republic (+500) are firmly ahead of Croatia (+2400) and Scotland (+4500) in Group D. The England side, which is loaded with notable Premier League faces, seems likely to go unbeaten now that it’s taken down its toughest competition. Croatia has a huge game against the Czech Republic on Friday, and trailing by three in goal differential could be problematic even with a win.

Euro 2021 Group D Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
England -245 -455 -162 -1250 OTB OTB
Czech Republic +1200 +500 +130 +200 -162 -590
Croatia +350 +2400 OTB -150 +130 +360
Scotland +1900 +4500 OTB +310 +1600 +2900

Group E

Only group F is more wide open than Group E at this point. Spain is still the favorite at -265 despite their draw against Sweden (+525) this week, but dominated possession and created plenty of quality chances. A lineup change might be needed to maximize their potential, as there’s no clear-cut, go-to finisher at forward. Slovakia (+575) turned heads by knocking off Poland and could be a sneaky good top two bet at +125 because of the upset. Playing for draws the rest of the way could even result in Slovakia finishing atop the table, so there’s plenty of value in placing a smaller bet on the underdogs now.

Euro 2021 Group E Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (June 15) Top 2 (Jun 19)
Spain -286 -230 -122 -1250 -835 -420
Sweden +650 +525 +155 -104 -162 -200
Slovakia +1700 +575 +1400 +475 +125 +380
Poland +700 +1900 +2200 +102 +400 +135

Group F

One team in the group of death took a giant step in the right direction on Tuesday. France was favored to finish atop the table and took down Germany courtesy of a Mats Hummels own goal in the first half of the match. France won 1-0 and Germany’s odds took a big hit with the loss. It seems like the winner of next week’s Portugal-France game will win the group. Portugal handed Hungary a 3-1 romping on Tuesday, and Christiano Ronaldo netted two goals in his team’s victory.

Euro 2021 Group F Odds

Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (Jun 19)
Team To win To win (Jun 15) To win (Jun 19) Top 2 Top 2 (Jun 19)
France +148 -167 +100 -250 -560
Germany +165 +700 +100 -200 -1250
Portugal +300 +235 +1700 -165 +225
Hungary +4000 +14000 OTB +850 +4000

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