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Odds to win men’s basketball gold medal at Tokyo 2021 Olympics

This likely comes down to how many Americans coming off a year of COVID-19 and an extended NBA season will want to make the journey to Japan.

Paul George of the USA Basketball Men’s National Team talks with Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors after the game against China on July 26, 2016 at ORACLE Arena in Oakland, California. Photo by Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images

Despite a couple missteps (and one outright robbery), the gold medal in basketball still goes through the United States.

15 of the 19 gold medals issued have gone to Team USA, and it should be 16. But how many players will want to put in a full team training camp, warmup tour, as well as two weeks isolated from family and friends in Japan? Remember many of those that would normally join the players won’t be able to attend in Tokyo.

July 5 is the deadline for USA Basketball to submit the Olympic roster, and that’s only three days before the NBA Finals begin. There’s a list of 57 qualified players, but many of them have already indicated they won’t be making the trip. LeBron James is out with an ankle and a blockbuster movie premiere, Anthony Davis has a groin injury, Zion Williamson broke his finger... and there’s plenty more.

It does look like Damian Lillard and Draymond Green will make it to training camp in Las Vegas, but right now they’re the first two on board. Those two and 10 guys from the G-League might be enough to get on the podium anyway, but it’s not guarantee.

The USA will want to field the strongest team it can after flaming out at the 2019 Basketball World Cup in China. There the Americans finished seventh with a team that included Donovan Mitchell, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, and Kemba Walker.

Here are the complete odds from DraftKings Sportsbook for who will win the men’s basketball gold medal at the 2021 Olympics in Tokyo.

Olympic Men’s Basketball Odds Tokyo 2020

Team Odds
Team Odds
USA -305
Serbia +800
Spain +800
France +1700
Australia +2500
Greece +2500
Lithuania +2500
Argentina +3000
Croatia +5000
Slovenia +5000
Turkey +5000
Venezuela +5000
Canada +10000
Italy +10000
Brazil +15000
Czech Republic +15000
Germany +15000
Poland +15000
Russian OC +15000
Dominican Republic +40000
Puerto Rico +40000
Nigeria +50000
Tunisia +50000
Angola +100000
Iran +100000
Mexico +100000
Senegal +100000
Uruguay +100000
China +200000
Japan +250000
Philippines +250000
South Korea +250000

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