After losing Game 1 by only three points last week, the Milwaukee Bucks have stormed back winning two straight games and are looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead over the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night. But it will not be easy as the Hawks were one of the best teams at home in the regular season and have yet to lose two straight games at home in the playoffs.
Below is a look at a number of predictions ahead of Tuesday’s game for the Free $5K DraftKings Pools - Playoff Edition (MIL-ATL).
Which team will cover the spread? Bucks -6.5 or Hawks +6.5
Throughout the playoffs, I thought that the oddsmakers were trolling us making whomever the Hawks were playing significant favorites. However, I don’t feel like this is the case for tonight’s game. With Trae Young and Bogdan Bogdanovic both banged up, we could easily see the Bucks win by double-digits yet again.
Total points scored? Over/Under 221.5
In the first three games of this series, the point total has only gone over 221.5 points once, which was in Game 1 (116-113). I think the total is still a bit high despite the Bucks shooting 51.6% from the field in their last two wins. We know that Milwaukee will put up points, but who will help Young handle the scoring load? That is the bigger question at hand.
Which team will reach 15 points first in the 1st Quarter? Bucks, Hawks or Neither
In Game 3, the Hawks were the first team to score 15 points as the jumped out to a big lead in the first quarter, which does not come as a surprise since they were at home. In a must-win spot, we could see the Hawks do it again. But I’d lean towards the trio that the Bucks have in Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, and Jrue Holiday.
Which team will make more 3-pointers? Bucks or Hawks
Both of these teams rely heavily on the three-point shooting and spacing the floor for their two star players in Giannis and Young. In Game 3, the Hawks made more threes (15), which has been key to their success in the playoffs up to this point.
However, we saw in Game 2, the Bucks made 15 three-pointers in comparison to the Hawks’ 9 three-pointers. Milwaukee won that game in a blowout 125-91 at home. If Atlanta wants to come away with the win, they’ll need to win the perimeter battle. I’ll take the Hawks.
Will both Clint Capela and Khris Middleton record a double-double? Yes or no
I’ll go with no as Middleton does not need to record a double-double to make an impact on the floor. Meanwhile, it’s imperative for Capela to have a double-double in Game 4, who has accomplished this feat once (Game 1 — 12 points, 19 rebounds).
Total points, rebounds and assists for Trae Young? Over/Under 42.5
Conventional wisdom would say that for the Hawks to have a chance in Game 4, Young needs to have his imprint all over this game and exceed his points, rebounds, and assists prop. But with him dealing with a bone bruise, which has played a major factor. The best move might be to play the under. He has gone under 42.5 PRA in the Hawks’ last two games.
Total points, rebounds and assists for Giannis Antetokounmpo? Over/Under 51.5
Just like with Young’s points, rebounds, and assist prop, I think this number is a tad bit high for Antetokounmpo, who has gone under 51.5 in two straight games. The only time he went over was in Game 1, when he had 55 points, rebounds, and assists. If this is a close game in the fourth quarter, we could see Antetokounmpo close to this number. But if its a blowout, he won’t reach it. Take the under.
Which team will win the 4th Quarter? Bucks or Hawks
If the Hawks are down to start the third quarter, which is a strong possibility as we know the Bucks’ offense is potent. I’d say that the Hawks will win the fourth quarter. Atlanta will be in catch-up mode and could have periods where they can string together some mini runs late in the game.
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