Tracking MLB betting action for Wednesday, June 30th

We surprisingly did really well with our best bets from Tuesday night, going 3-2 overall. Kyle Schwarber got the night started crushing a solo HR off of Rich Hill in the first inning, giving him 16 HRs in the month of the June. Schwarber was +360 to go yard. Then later in the night, the White Sox (-141 on the ML) opened up their series against the Twins with a 7-6 win. We also saw Athletics rookie pitcher James Kaprielian struggle with the long ball in his start against the Rangers, but he battled and got six strikeouts in 6.0 IP, hitting the over of 5.5 at -107.

That being said, can we have another successful day/night on the mound? Here we’re going to be tracking all the best MLB picks base on the odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s baseball action.

MLB picks for Wednesday, June 30th

Brewers (-148) vs. Cubs

I initially wanted to be different and take the Cubs, who have lost five consecutive games heading into Wednesday’s matinee against the Brewers. However, it’s hard for me to back Chicago with Jake Arrieta on the mound. The veteran pitcher has not performed well at all this season with a 5-8 record and 5.32 ERA. On the road, his ERA goes up to 6.17 in nine starts and opponents are hitting .277. It is not a recipe for success and it does not come as a surprise that the Cubs are 1-3 in his last four road starts.

The Brewers will be starting top pitching prospect Aaron Ashby. The southpaw has been good at Triple-A this season with 56 strikeouts in 38 IP. The 23-year-old will likely only pitch a couple of innings today, which means this will be a bullpen game. I usually do not like to pick games where there’s a lot bullpen usage. But with the Cubs struggling, the Brew Crew should get the win.

Braves (-155) vs. Mets

We might have a strikeout prop or two for today’s slate of games, but until then, here’s another moneyline play. Both the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets have looked shaky in their last five games. The Mets snapped their two-game losing skid on Tuesday night with a comeback 4-3 win over the Braves.

However, we shouldn’t see Atlanta lose back-to-back games with starting pitcher Max Fried on the mound. The 27-year-old southpaw has been average this season with a 4-4 record and 4.21 ERA in 11 starts. But he’s performed much better at home with a 3-3 record and 3.63 ERA. Fried is looking build off his last start against the Cardinals, where he allowed 2 hits, 1 earned run, 2 walks and struck out 6 in 7.0 IP. The Braves are 3-2 in Fried’s last five home starts. Atlanta’s offense should be able to put some up runs on Mets starting pitcher David Peterson, who is 0-3 with a 7.83 ERA in eight road starts. Back the Braves in what could be a high scoring game.

White Sox (-125) vs. Twins

In both sports betting and daily fantasy sports, there’s nothing wrong with playing a certain or team consecutively. On Tuesday night, we picked the White Sox to defeat the Twins in the series opener with Lucas Giolito. The White Sox got it done, despite a weather delay and won 7-6. We are going back to the White Sox, who have Dylan Cease on the mound. The young starting pitcher has a record of 6-3 and 3.81 ERA through 15 starts this season. Cease has been tremendous at home this season, which bodes well for the Sox. He is 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA in seven home starts, where opponents are only hitting .196. Here’s another good start about Cease at home — the White Sox are 6-1 in Cease’s starts. Back the White Sox, who should have no problem against Twins starter Bailey Ober, who gave up 4 earned runs and 2 HRs in 4.0 IP against Chicago on May 18.

Chris Bassitt over 5.5 strikeouts (-139)

I usually try to stay away from strikeout props that are juiced, but when Chris Bassitt is on the mound I have to take a look at what his number is. With prop total at O/U 5.5 K’s, I think this is a favorable play against a Texas Rangers team that strikes out a lot. The Athletics’ ace pitcher has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in 10 out of 16 starts this season, which includes 3 out of his last 5 outings.

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