clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

How public is betting and DFS considerations for Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor

Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor meet at lightweight in the main event of UFC 264 on July 10. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

In this handout image provided by the UFC, Dustin Poirier punches Conor McGregor of Ireland in a lightweight fight during the UFC 257 event inside Etihad Arena on UFC Fight Island on January 23, 2021 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

On Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, we see the third and maybe the final matchup between Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor in the main event at UFC 264. Both fighters have each won a bout against each other, with Poirier winning in January at UFC 257.

“Diamond” Poirier enters the octagon with a professional fighting record of 27-6 (1 NC) and is the favorite at -134 odds. The 32-year-old is receiving 50% of the handle and 51% of the bets. He’s ranked first in the lightweight division and sixth in the men’s pound for pound rankings. If Poirier were to defeat McGregor for the second consecutive time on Saturday night, he would be on a collision course to face Charles Oliveira for the championship.

McGregor enters UFC 264 as the slight underdog at +150 odds, and is receiving 50% of the handle and 49% of bets. “The Notorious” suffered his first loss in three years after getting knocked out by Poirier earlier this year. The 32-year-old veteran fighter is ranked fifth in the lightweight division and has a professional fighting record of 22-5.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor at UFC 264 on July 10.

Odds and Betting splits

Dustin Poirier: -134 (50% of action, 51% of bets)
Conor McGregor: +105 (50% of action, 49% of bets)

Winning Method

Dustin Poirier By Decision: +550 (4% of action, 6% of bets)
Dustin Poirier By KO, TKO or DQ: +175 (31% of action, 23% of bets)
Dustin Poirier By Submission: +650 (9% of action, 15% of bets)
Conor McGregor By Decision: +700 (6% of action, 11% of bets)
Conor McGregor By KO, TKO or DQ: +140 (43% of action, 31% of bets)
Conor McGregor By Submission: +2000 (6% of action, 9% of bets)
Tie: +6600 (3% of action, 5% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Dustin Poirier: $8,100
Conor McGregor: $8,100

This fight could go either way and you would not be wrong with whomever you pick in MMA DFS for Saturday night. However McGregor as the underdog in this spot might be the best pick. “The Notorious” is averaging 93.9 FPPG in his UFC career and has scored over 100-plus fantasy points in seven out his last 10 bouts.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/MI/PA/WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA) or Call or Text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IA/IN/CO/IL/TN/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.