Odds, picks, best bet for Belgium vs. Italy in Euro 2021 quarterfinals

Belgium and Italy face off on Friday, July 2 at 3 p.m. ET in the Euro 2020 quarterfinals. The match will air on ESPN and take place in Munich. Italy is a -155 favorite to advance at DraftKings Sportsbook, while Belgium is a +120 underdog.

Both Italy and Belgium cruised through the group stage, winning all three of their games and finishing at the top of their respective groups. Belgium ended up edging out Portugal in their Round of 16 match thanks to the lone goal from Thorgen Hazard, although Portugal put them through the ringer with 23 shots overall. Italy needed extra time in their first knockout match as regular time ended 0-0 with Austria, but goals from Federico Chiesa and Matteo Pessina put the game away as the final score ended at 2-1.

Belgium vs. Italy

Belgium: +240 (to advance +120)
Tie: +210
Italy: +135 (to advance -155)
Total goals: 2.5 (Over -180, Under +145)

Regular time ML pick: Tie +210
Team to advance pick: Italy -155
Best bet: Romelu Lukaku to score +225

Belgium, the number one team in the world according to FIFA’s world rankings, come into this game as the underdogs against a red-hot Italy team who have only conceded one goal in their last 12 matches. In bad news for the Red Devils, both Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard came off in their last game with injuries and are listed as doubtful ahead of their quarter final clash. If they do see the field then Belgium has a great chance at advancing, but assuming they won’t be available, I’m picking Italy to move on.

Regardless, I don’t think either team will escape this game with a clean sheet with prolific goal scorers like Ciro Immobile and Romelu Lukaku on the field. Lukaku, Belgium’s all-time leading scorer, racked up three goals in the group stage and if the Red Devils do get on the scoreboard, chances are it’ll be courtesy of the Inter Milan striker. He’s sitting at +225 odds to score, and that just may be the best bet regardless of whether Belgium advances or not.

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