The Miami Dolphins were one of the surprising teams of the 2020 season, eventually going 10-6 in Brian Flores’ second year as head coach. The Dolphins missed the playoffs and had some questions at quarterback when changing from Ryan Fitzpatrick to Tua Tagovailoa, but seem set up well to return to the postseason in 2021.
The Dolphins made some big moves to take the next step in evaluating Tagovailoa. They signed speedy WR Will Fuller in free agency and took Tagovailoa’s college teammate Jaylen Waddle to further bolster the position. They added LB Bernardrick McKinney and CB Jason McCourty to provide depth for a solid defense.
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl 56 odds: +3000
Everything hinges on Tagovailoa. There’s no excuse to be as inconsistent as he was in 2020, even as the Dolphins went 6-3 in his starts. He had just four games with 6.5 yards per attempt or higher and his completion percentage swayed from the mid 50s to the upper 70s.
The Dolphins have a solid defense and great skill positions. Flores has shown he can coach and coach well. Outside of the Buffalo Bills, the division is not daunting. Miami has the talent to hang with most of the AFC, but only if Tagovailoa shows up as a franchise QB. The Dolphins are probably not going to pay off on this bet given Tagovailoa’s inconsistencies, but if he turns into Tom Brady then they’re good enough around him to win the whole thing.
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