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Odds, picks, best bet for USA vs. Mexico in 2021 Gold Cup final

USA and Mexico will be battling for the Gold Cup title. We break down the best bets for the match.

United States v Qatar: Semifinals - 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup Photo by Chuck Burton/Getty Images

USA and Mexico meet on Sunday, August 1 at 8:30 p.m. ET in the 2021 Gold Cup final. The match will air on FS1 and take place in Las Vegas, Nevada.

The USMNT and Mexico will meet for the seventh time in a Gold Cup final as Mexico will be looking for its second-straight title after taking home the honors in 2019. Of the six previous final meetings, Mexico has won five while USA has only come out on top once. That was back in 2007 with a 2-1 victory.

While this is the final we’ve has been expecting to see, Mexico is still slightly favored to win in regular time at +130 after entering the tournament as the favorite. The USMNT knocked off Mexico in the CONCACAF Nations League final back in June, but that was a drastically different lineup for Gregg Berhalter, so who knows what will happen in this one.

USA vs. Mexico

USA: +250 regular time, +130 to win
Tie: +310
Mexico: +130 regular time, -160 to win
Total goals: 2.5 (Over +125, Under -155)

Regular time ML pick: Tie +310
Team to win pick: Mexico -160
Best bet: Total goals under 2.5 (-155)

USA, while unbeaten in this tournament, won the majority of its games by a 1-0 margin. In fact, of the five games the Americans played, four of them ended in a 1-0 victory with the other one ending in a 6-1 blowout over Martinique in the group stage. While they have players who are capable of scoring, they really haven’t been able to find the back of the net often against tough opposition. USA’s last two games only ended 1-0 thanks to the game-winning goal coming in within the final 10 minutes of regular time.

Mexico has fared a little better, logging a few games with multiple goals scored, but USA’s defense has been solid throughout the tournament, allowing only one goal. While the winner could be either team, I think a safe bet would be less than three goals scored overall in this final, even if it goes into extra time.

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