The Jacksonville Jaguars were kind of a total mess last year, but heading into 2021 a lot has changed. A new quarterback, new head coach and a new energy around the team have fans excited for the future of the team.
4,050 passing yds (Over -115, Under -115)
Our pick: Under
Analysis: It’s very tough to really determine this one way or another. Lawerence is easily one of the best, if not the best, QB prospects of all time heading into his rookie year. His career at Clemson was the stuff of legend, passing for an average of 3,366 yards per season over the 12 game slate.
Still, this is the NFL and it’s a much different game. He won’t have the luxury of playing Georgia Tech or Syracuse now. The high water mark for a rookie QB’s passing yards is Andrew Luck, who had just over 4,300 yards in 2012. Justin Herbert was close last year to topping it, but those are the only two to ever get well over 4,050. Cam Newton is the only other one to do it, with 4,051 yards in 2011. Still, most of those players came into better overall rosters and had a head coach with NFL experience in the past. Lawernce doesn’t have either of those things. His top receiving threat is DJ Chark, who is solid. But don’t expect the Jags to go out slinging it around week after week in year one of a massive rebuild.
25.5 passing TDs (Over -115, Under -115)
Our pick: Over
While the NFL is a different game from college, Lawerence should still get above 26 passing scores his rookie year. The Jags had just 25 passing scores a year ago, but this is an automatic upgrade at QB and they bolstered the WR corps a bit as well. Plus, even in a shortened college season, Lawerence had well over 25 TDs in his freshman and sophomore campaigns that weren’t shortened by COVID.
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