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Why Zach Wilson will go under on passing yards, over on TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

We take a look at the odds on the table for New York Jets QB Zach Wilson available on DraftKings Sportsbook and make our predictions ahead of the 2021 NFL season.

Zach Wilson holds a jersey onstage after being drafted second by the New York Jets during round one of the 2021 NFL Draft at the Great Lakes Science Center on April 29, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

The Zach Wilson era with the New York Jets is set to begin as the No. 2 pick of the NFL Draft is the unquestioned starter in 2021. The Jets do not have much in terms of a reliable backup, so this was his team the second his name was announced during the draft. Sam Darnold was not exactly set up for success in this offense, which still needs plenty of work, though the organization brought in a play maker at the wide receiver position to make life easier for Wilson in Year 1.

Here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for New York Jets QB Zach Wilson on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

3800.5 passing yards: Over (-115) or Under (-115)

Our pick: Under

The Jets quarterbacks Darnold and Joe Flacco threw for just 3,072 passing yards in 2020. New York brought in former Tennessee Titans receiver Corey Davis and will bring back Jamison Crowder. New York has a few talented young pass catchers with second-year wideout Denzel Mims and rookie second-round pick Elijah Moore. It will take some time for Wilson to develop chemistry with the pass catchers on the roster, so we’re going with the under yardage total.

21.5 passing TDs: Over (-115) or Under (-115)

Our pick: Over

New York quarterbacks threw for 15 touchdowns last season, and that’s a number that should increase significantly under Wilson, so we’re going to go with the over. While it is difficult to know what to expect from a rookie quarterback especially throwing to relatively new pass catchers, but 21.5 isn’t a high number of touchdown throws for a guaranteed starter so Wilson should surpass this total. He has some talented players to throw to, and we’re pretty confident in this one.

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