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Why Sam Darnold will go over on passing yards, under on TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

We take a look at the odds on the table for Carolina Panthers QB Sam Darnold available on DraftKings Sportsbook and make our predictions ahead of the 2021 NFL season.

Carolina Panthers Training Camp Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

The three seasons of Sam Darnold with the New York Jets did not work out for anybody, and he will get a clean slate with the Carolina Panthers. Despite three years as a pro, it seems unclear what Darnold is as a quarterback at this point at just 24 years old. He was certainly not set up for success with the Jets, and Darnold will join a very underrated group of wide receivers. Hopefully, we will get a better feel for what Darnold’s future could be in 2021.

Here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for Carolina Panthers QB Sam Darnold on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

3950.5 passing yards: Over (-115) or Under (-115)

Our pick: Over

There is a very good chance Darnold has his best statistical season of his career in Year 1 with the Panthers. He threw for more than 3,000 yards just once in three seasons, though he never played more than 13 games in a year. For reference to last year’s Carolina quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater threw for 3,733 yards. Darnold has a good shot to exceed that with DJ Moore and Robby Anderson, who both went for more than 1,000 receiving yards for the Panthers in 2020.

23.5 passing TDs: Over (+100) or Under (-130)

Our pick: Under

You’ll need to pay a decent price for this bet to get the under at -130, but it’s unlikely we see Darnold throw 24 or more touchdowns this season. While Moore and Anderson had big years in 2020, they still combined for just seven receiving scores. Bridgewater threw just 15 touchdowns last season, and it’s hard to imagine Darnold throwing nearly 10 more touchdowns this year. We’re going after the under.

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