Ryan Tannehill’s career ascended with his move from the Miami Dolphins to Tennessee Titans as he heads into his third season with the organization. Tennessee has seen some changes to their pass-catching personnel this offseason. They lost wide receiver Corey Davis and tight end Jonnu Smith, while the Titans brought in Julio Jones to work alongside A.J. Brown.
4200.5 passing yards: Over (-115) or Under (-115)
Our pick: Over
Ryan Tannehill reached this yardage total just once in his eight-year career, but we’re betting he will do it again. Not only will there be one extra regular season game but at some point, you’d think the Titans will limit Derrick Henry during the regular season. Now at 27 years old, he is coming off a season in which he carried the ball 396 times, more than 100 more than any other running back outside of Dalvin Cook. Tennessee should throw the ball more often, leading to Tannehill hitting the over.
28.5 passing TDs: Over (-120) or Under (-110)
Our pick: Under
While we figure Henry will see fewer touches per game, that should not change near the goal line when the Titans need touchdowns. Additionally, the Titans will feel the loss of Smith, who scored eight touchdowns in 2020. Anthony Firkser is the No. 1 tight end at this point, and he scored one touchdown in each of his first three seasons in the NFL. He’s the guy now, but it’s unlikely he can match the touchdown total of Smith.
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