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Why Mike Williams will go under on receiving yards, over on TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

We take a look at the odds on the table for LA Chargers WR Mike Williams available on DraftKings Sportsbook and make our predictions ahead of the 2021 NFL season.

Wide receiver Mike Williams #81 of the Los Angeles Chargers tries to elude cornerback Kareem Jackson #22 of the Denver Broncos after catching a pass during the second quarter at Empower Field at Mile High on December 1, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

After an abnormal 2019 regular season, where he had over 1,000 receiving yards but only 2 touchdowns, Mike Williams made his presence felt in the end zone last season with rookie quarterback Justin Herbert.

Williams will likely be a go-to target for Herbert heading into this season, along with All-Pro wide receiver Keenan Allen and running back Austin Ekeler.

Here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for Los Angeles Chargers WR Mike Williams on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

900.5 receiving yards: Over (-115) or Under (-115)

Our pick: Under

Thus far in his NFL career, Williams has only gone over 900.5 receiving yards once, which happened in 2019. During that season, the former Clemson Tigers wideout had a career-high 49 receptions (90 targets) for 1,001 yards. Heading into this season, it would not be farfetched to see Williams duplicate what he did in 2019, especially with tight end Hunter Henry moving on to the New England Patriots.

However, the Chargers replaced Henry with Jared Cook, who is a solid starting tight end in the NFL. I think Williams will play a huge role in the Chargers’ passing offense this season, but he won't go over his receiving yard total.

5.5 receiving TDs: Over (+100) or Under (-130)

Our pick: Over

If Williams isn’t going over his receiving yard prop, then the best bet is likely him scoring more than 5.5 receiving touchdowns this season. The former first-round pick has only gone over 5.5 receiving TDs once in his career, which was in 2018 where he had 10. Out of those 10 touchdowns, Williams had 6 scores inside the redzone. Without Henry being that safety valve inside the redzone for Herbert, it could be a prime opportunity for Williams. At +100, I think this is the best value for Williams, who should get favorable matchups on a weekly basis.

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