Why Mike Evans will go under on receiving yards, over on TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

The Buccaneers begin their Super Bowl title defense with a team every bit as loaded as the one that went all the way last season. One of those key players is Mike Evans, the team’s leader in the big receiving categories last year. But with such a loaded group, can Evans achieve the kind of lofty stats that will have you betting the over?

Here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

1050.5 receiving yards: Over (-110) or Under (-120)

Our pick: Under

Evans’ 1,006 receiving yards led the team last season, which was actually the second-lowest total of his career so far. But he was one of five players who saw more than 50 targets, which includes Antonio Brown who was only there half a season. But Brown is back for a full season in 2020, and you have to think Chris Godwin will get back on track as well. That likely spells fewer opportunities for Evans, making it hard to take the over on this one.

9 receiving TDs: Over (-120) or Under (-110)

Our pick: Over

He thrived in the red zone last year, crossing the goal line a career-high 13 times with Tom Brady under center. Evans should still see more than his fair share of looks when it’s touchdown time, and even if he doesn’t best his career total, he should still hit the over here.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/MI), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA) or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN).21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.