Over the last decade, no tight end has entered the NFL with greater expectations than Kyle Pitts. The No. 4 overall pick in this year’s draft, Pitts has extremely rare size, speed, and refinement for the position. As a prospect, he has more in common with Calvin Johnson than other first-round tight ends of recent vintage.
Kyle Pitts receiving props for 2021 NFL season
800.5 receiving yards: Over (-115) or Under (-115)
Our pick: Under
Only four tight ends have ever recorded more than 800 receiving yards as rookies, and only one has done so in the last 30 years. Pitts certainly has the talent to do so, but he also doesn’t turn 21 until October and joins an offense also learning head coach Arthur Smith’s system. While the extra game on the schedule helps, too many variables exist to feel good about Pitts hitting the over.
7 receiving touchdowns: Over (-120) or Under (+100)
Our pick: Under
Unsurprisingly, rookie tight ends don’t have a good track record when it comes to reaching the end zone. Only four recorded more than seven touchdowns in their debut seasons, and only two have done so this century. Pitts can do it, but that still seems a herculean ask for a 20-year-old.
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