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Why David Montgomery will go OVER or UNDER rushing yards, TDs for 2021 NFL season

David Montgomery turned the corner in 2020. Now, the Bears need to hope the former third-round pick can deliver a true breakout season.

David Montgomery #32 of the Chicago Bears runs for yardage during the first quarter of a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field on December 27, 2020 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images

The Chicago Bears offense left much to be desired in 2020. However, running back David Montgomery demonstrated marked improvement over the previous season, recording his first 1,000-rushing-yard campaign despite the limited support around him. Now, as he enters his third year in the NFL, Montgomery looks to break out in a more significant way.

Here, we take a look at the prop bets on the table for Montgomery on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

1000.5 rushing yards: Over (-130) or Under (+100)

Our pick: Over

While Montgomery hasn’t always demonstrated the greatest efficiency as a runner, some of the blame falls to his supporting cast. The Bears’ offensive line struggled for most of the past two seasons, especially in the run game when Nick Foles replaced Mitch Trubisky under center. This offseason has seen the team make meaningful improvements to the unit and, whenever Justin Fields takes over as the starting quarterback, blocking for Montgomery shouldn’t seem quite as difficult. With a 1,070-yard season already under his belt, the third-year rusher should hit the over if he stays healthy.

7.5 rushing touchdowns: Over (-110) or Under (-120)

Our pick: Over

Analysis

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