Florida (2-0) will be the first SEC team to get a crack at the defending national champions this and will try to trigger the upset with a little bit of a quarterback controversy on their hands. Senior starter Emory Jones has looked vulnerable in both of UF’s games so far, throwing two interceptions last week in their 42-20 rout of USF. Despite some of his mistakes, he has been effective in managing the Gator offense and has been backed publicly by head coach Dan Mullen and his teammates.
On the other end is redshirt freshman Anthony Richardson, who has been explosive every time he’s touched the ball. The Gainesville native has been a dual-threat force in two games, averaging 17.5 yards per pass attempt and 25 yards per carry off just 11 QB runs. The use of the two QB’s has drawn comparisons to the two-QB tandem of Chris Leak and Tim Tebow of UF’s 2006 national championship team and it’s fitting, considering the younger Richardson is wearing Tebow’s No. 15 jersey. We’ll see how Mullen plays it on Saturday with the young phenom working through a hamstring injury this week.
Alabama (2-0) heads into Gainesville coming off a 48-14 tune up win over Mercer, the typical game where the Crimson Tide sleepwalks to a blowout victory but Nick Saban still finds things to pound the podium about in the postgame presser. Starting QB Bryce Young had another efficient afternoon, going 19-27 for 227 yards and three touchdowns on the day.
Here’s all the data you’ll want, and a pick for the game!
Alabama: 1st overall, 3rd offense, 4th defense
Florida: 9th overall, 7th offense, 23rd defense
LB Will Anderson Jr. is questionable – Knee
RB Camar Wheaton is questionable – Undisclosed
LB Christopher Allen is out for season – Foot
LB Quandarrius Robinson is out indefinitely – Suspension
DB Jalyn Armour Davis is probable– Undisclosed
DB Josh Jobe is probable – Undisclosed
WR Xavier Williams is out for season – Undisclosed
QB Anthony Richardson is probable – Hamstring
CB Jaydon Hill is out for season – Knee
LB Ventrell Miller is out for season – Bicep
Against The Spread
Alabama: 9-4 ATS (2020)
Florida: 5-6-1 ATS (2020)
Alabama: Over 7-5-1 (2020)
Florida: Over 8-4 (2020)
Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports
Alabama: 1st overall, 1st offense, 1st defense
Florida: 5th overall, 5th offense, 10th defense
Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread: Alabama -14.5
Moneyline: Alabama -650, Florida +460
Opening line: Alabama -14
Opening total: 57
Alabama is going to put up 40+ points regardless of who they play, so the real question here is if Florida can get to about three touchdowns to trigger the over. The Gators may not have the same caliber of offensive firepower that hung with the Tide in the SEC Championship game last season but guys like Jacob Copeland and Malik Davis are worthy enough playmakers that can get the best of any defense.
Gator overs are 6-3-1 under Dan Mullen when Florida is an underdog and in front of a massive home crowd at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, they should put up enough of an offensive fight for the over to hit.
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