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The NFL is back for Week 3 and that means we’re back with our weekly picks with confidence levels. Rather than just predict winners and losers, we’re attaching a level of confidence to them (high, medium, low, no confidence). A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicate a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the outright win.
Last week, I went 11-5 overall with my picks. My best group was low confidence where I was 4-0, including two outright upsets. My worst group was no confidence, where I was 0-2 with my Jaguars and Jets upset predictions. They’re arguably the two worst teams in the league, so, lesson learned.
This week, my upset picks remain on the low end of the confidence levels. I am a little shaky on Panthers over Texans given the short week and Houston’s QB change, but I think Carolina ends up winning a close one there. My shakiest high confidence pick is probably Browns over Bears. Cleveland has some questions and they face a Bears team that looks to roll out Justin Fields in place of an injured Andy Dalton. That could be a recipe for an upset, but I’m still pretty confident in Cleveland this week.
High confidence (5-2)
Browns over Bears
Cardinals over Jaguars
Bills over Washington
Broncos over Jets
Medium confidence (6-6)
Panthers over Texans
Ravens over Lions
Chiefs over Chargers
Titans over Colts
Cowboys over Eagles
Low confidence (6-2)
Patriots over Saints
Steelers over Bengals
Dolphins over Raiders***
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
No confidence (1-4)
Falcons over Giants***
Vikings over Seahawks***
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