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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Nick Diaz vs. Robbie Lawler

Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler meet in a welterweight bout on the main card of UFC 266. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Opponents Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler face off during the UFC 266 ceremonial weigh-in at Park Theater on September 24, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

UFC 266 is a loaded card of fights from top to bottom, but one of the most exciting match ups on the line up isn’t even the main event! Nick Diaz makes his long awaited return to the cage against Robbie Lawler this Saturday night the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Diaz and Lawler first battled 17 years ago, in 2004 at UFC 47. I wouldn’t fault any of you for not remembering, but the bout was a war and resulted in a second round stoppage victory for Nick Diaz. Nearly 20 years after the fact with careers nearly long past prime, Lawler seeks revenge and managed to draw Diaz out of retirement (semi-retirement? A long vacation?) for this one.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Nick Diaz vs. Robbie Lawler at UFC 266 on September 25.

Odds and Betting splits

Diaz: +125 (58% of action, 68% of bets)
Lawler: -145 (42% of action, 32% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Diaz: $7,900
Lawler: $8,300

Lawler by KO/TKO/DQ: While the betting lines may be close, I believe there is something to be said about Nick Diaz’s not-so-recent performances and the fact that he simply seems unmotivated coming into this bout. Proposing for change to a 185lb weight limit on fight week, as opposed to the originally scheduled 170lbs, and top of the internal footage I’ve seen of Diaz so far; it looks like Nick may be past his prime and ready to show all its ugly glory on Saturday night.

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