Sunday update: The Titans beat the Texans 28-25, which means they secured the No. 1 seed. The Chiefs will be the No. 2 seed in the playoffs. They’ll host a first round game and if they win, they’re guaranteed to host a second round game.
Saturday update: The Chiefs beat the Broncos 28-24. That locks in the Chiefs at no worse than the No. 2 seed and potentially the No. 1 seed if the Titans lose.
The Titans have the head-to-head tiebreaker, so a Titans win forecloses the Chiefs’ chance at the top seed and the bye that comes with. But, there is value in the No. 2 seed, with home field in the Wild Card round and if they advance, home field in the Divisional Round.
The Chiefs travel to face the Denver Broncos to close out the season. The Chiefs are a 10.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook. Relevant games in Week 18 impacting the Chiefs seeding possibilities include:
All seeding possibilities are broken down through NFLPlayoffScenarios.com.
How they can be No. 1 seed Chiefs win + Titans loss or tie, OR Chiefs tie + Titans loss
How they can be No. 2 seed
- Chiefs win + Titans win, OR
Chiefs tie + Titans win/tie, OR Chiefs loss + Bengals loss/tie + Bills loss/tie + Patriots loss/tie
How they can be No. 3 seed Chiefs loss + Bengals win + Bills loss/tie + Patriots loss/tie, OR Chiefs loss + Bengals loss/tie + Bills win, OR Chiefs loss + Bengals loss/tie + Patriots win
How they can be No. 4 seed Chiefs loss + Bengals win + Bills win, OR Chiefs loss + Bengals win + Patriots win