The NFL is working its way through Week 12 and the Houston Texans will head into December holding the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. There’s plenty of time left on the calendar, but it’s hard to see the Texans winning even a couple more games to give the Panthers, Bears, or Raiders a real shot at claiming the top pick.
The top ten is a tight bunch heading into Week 12 Sunday. One game separates the No. 2 pick from the No. 13 pick. The three-game Thanksgiving slate saw the Lions move into that clump of teams. They gave the Bills trouble throughout their early game, but couldn’t close the deal and dropped to 4-7 with the loss. The Patriots moved into the top 18 picks with their loss to the Vikings and now await the rest of the AFC results to see where they’ll settle heading into December.
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The Texans lost to the Dolphins and will remain firmly in control of the race for the No. 1 pick. They gave Miami some trouble after falling behind 30-0, but they were never in this one. At 1-9-1, they’ve got a 2+ game lead on the Bears, who were thumped by the Jets. Notably however, the Panthers handled the Broncos with ease to get their fourth win of the season. Carolina still has a shot at a top ten pick, but they won’t be claiming the No. 1 pick this year.
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The Raiders got a big overtime win over the Seahawks to improve to 4-7. Las Vegas is at the back of the top ten in the draft order. The loss dropped the Seahawks out of the playoff standings for the time-being and into the top 18 picks that go to the non-playoff teams. The Rams lost in convincing fashion to the Chiefs, which moves their pick to No. 3 overall. Of course, the pick belongs to the Lions from the Jared Goff trade, so they’re loving this.
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The Eagles beat the Packers all but ending Green Bay’s faint playoff chances. Green Bay has climbed into the top ten of the draft order and will be a team to watch with only a game separating them from the No. 2 Bears.
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The Steelers beat the Colts, which moves Pittsburgh out of the top ten in the draft order for the time-being due to the strength of schedule tiebreaker.
Here’s the complete 2023 NFL Draft order. We’ll update this list through the Week 12 Sunday slate. The first 18 picks are teams that would currently miss the playoffs. A division leader has a lower draft position than a non-playoff or wild card team with a better record because of the nature of playoff seeding. SOS serves as the tiebreaker and comes via Tankathon.
- Houston Texans, 1-9-1, .524
- Chicago Bears, 3-9, .568
- Los Angeles Rams (Lions have pick), 3-8, .487
- Denver Broncos (Seahawks have pick), 3-8, .489
- Carolina Panthers, 4-8, .438
- New Orleans Saints (Eagles have pick), 4-8, .484
- Arizona Cardinals, 4-8, .511
- Green Bay Packers, 4-8, .568
- Las Vegas Raiders, 4-7, .458
- Cleveland Browns (Texans have pick), 4-7, .510
- Jacksonville Jaguars, 4-7, .516
- Pittsburgh Steelers, 4-7, .531
- Detroit Lions, 4-7, .554
- Indianapolis Colts, 4-7-1, .521
- Atlanta Falcons, 5-7, .433
- Seattle Seahawks, 6-5, .448
- Los Angeles Chargers, 6-5, .453
- New England Patriots, 6-5, .526
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-6, .456
- Washington Commanders, 7-5, .539
- Baltimore Ravens, 7-4, .479
- New York Jets, 7-4, .524
- Cincinnati Bengals, 7-4, .532
- New York Giants, 7-4, .539
- San Francisco 49ers (Broncos have pick), 7-4, .433
- Tennessee Titans, 7-4, .487
- Dallas Cowboys, 8-3, .521
- Buffalo Bills, 8-3, .545
- Miami Dolphins (Forfeit pick due to tampering), 8-3, .521
- Minnesota Vikings, 9-2, .490
- Kansas City Chiefs, 9-2, .439
- Philadelphia Eagles, 10-1, .479