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Who can clinch a berth in the knockout stage on Tuesday, November 29

We break down every possible clinching scenario on Tuesday at the World Cup.

USA’s forward Haji Wright, USA’s midfielder Brenden Aaronson, USA’s defender Joe Scally and USA’s forward Josh Sargent attend a training session at Al Gharafa SC in Doha on November 28, 2022, on the eve of the Qatar 2022 World Cup football match between Iran and USA. Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images

The 2022 World Cup has moved into the decisive third round of group stage play. Group A and Group B play their final matches of the stage on Tuesday, November 29, and the results of those four matches will determine the two teams each group will send to the knockout stage.

The final day of each group features the four teams playing at the same time. The idea is that teams won’t adjust their strategy based on the other teams that had already played. It adds some solid drama to an already dramatic tournament.

Group A

On Tuesday, we get started at 10 a.m. ET with Ecuador facing Senegal on FS1 and the Netherlands facing Qatar on FOX. The Dutch and Ecuador are tied atop the group with four points from a win and a draw apiece. Senegal is in third place with three points and Qatar is in last place.

Qatar has been eliminated from the tournament, but can play spoiler. Here’s a look at all the possible scenarios.

  • Netherlands win, Ecuador win: Netherlands and Ecuador clinch the two berths. First and second place would depend on tiebreakers.
  • Netherlands win, Senegal win: Netherlands wins the group and Senegal claims the second berth.
  • Netherlands win, Ecuador-Senegal draw: Netherlands wins the group and Ecuador claims the second berth.
  • Netherlands-Qatar draw, Ecuador win: Ecuador wins group, Netherlands claims the second berth.
  • Netherlands-Qatar draw, Senegal win: Senegal wins group, Netherlands claims the second berth.
  • Netherlands-Qatar draw, Ecuador-Senegal draw: Netherlands and Ecuador clinch the two berths. First and second place would depend on tiebreakers.
  • Qatar win, Ecuador win: Ecuador wins group, Netherlands claims the second berth.
  • Qatar win, Senegal win: Senegal wins group and which of Netherlands or Ecuador advances with second spot depends on tiebreakers.
  • Qatar win, Ecuador-Senegal draw: Ecuador wins group and which of Netherlands or Ecuador advances with second spot depends on tiebreakers.

Group B

The second set of games take place at 2 p.m. ET and will see the USA face Iran and England face Wales. USA-Iran will take place on FOX and England-Wales will take place on FS1. All four teams remain alive in the race for a knockout stage berth. Here’s a look at all the possible scenarios.

  • USA win, England win: England wins the group and the USA finishes with the second berth.
  • USA win, Wales win: The USA wins the group and which of England and Wales finishes second depends on tiebreakers.
  • USA win, England-Wales draw: USA and England advance to the knockout stage. First and second place would depend on tiebreakers.
  • USA-Iran draw, England win: England wins the group and Iran claims the second berth.
  • USA-Iran draw, Wales win: England, Iran, Wales would all be tied and the two teams to advance would depend on tiebreakers.
  • USA-Iran draw, England-Wales draw: England wins the group and Iran claims the second berth.
  • Iran win, England win: England wins the group and Iran claims the second berth.
  • Iran win, Wales win: Iran wins the group and which of England and Wales finishes second depends on tiebreakers.
  • Iran win, England-Wales draw: Iran wins the group and England claims the second berth.