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Saudi Arabia’s late goal ends Mexico’s hopes of advancing to round of 16 despite 2-1 win

Here’s the latest from Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia in Group C Wednesday.

Argentina v Mexico: Group C - FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
Hirving Lozano of Mexico controls the ball during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 Group C match between Argentina and Mexico at Lusail Stadium on November 26, 2022 in Lusail City, Qatar.
Photo by Markus Gilliar - GES Sportfoto/Getty Images

We will be halfway through the group stage at the 2022 World Cup at the conclusion of Wednesday’s afternoon games, one of which is Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia. Mexico are in danger of missing out on the knockout round for the first time since 1978, while Saudi Arabia are also fighting for a knockout spot. We’ll be tracking the latest happenings from Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia here, while also keeping an eye on Argentina-Poland and update you on what’s going on there.

Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia live updates

Full time - Mexico 2, Saudi Arabia 1. It was a valiant effort for El Tri, but they have officially been eliminated from the round of 16 on goal differential.


90+5 - Saudi Arabia make a break on the counter attack and get a goal, it’s now 2-1 Mexico but that has effectively ended El Tri’s chances at making the round of 16. Mexico now need two goals to go through and only have a few minutes to get that done.


90th minute - A few offside calls haven’t gone Mexico’s way, and there might be some frustration with the referee but both were correctly called. We’ve entered the stoppage time portion of this match with Mexico still fighting for that elusive goal. Seven more minutes for a shot at the round of 16.


86th minute - The situation is still not great for Mexico, but Poland have been a bit reckless and picked up some yellow cards. If Poland get another yellow card, we could be headed to a random draw.


78th minute - Mexico had two more solid chances but were unable to either get solid shots off or prevent a Saudi Arabia defender from getting in the way. The Saudis have admittedly held their nerve despite going down 2-0, as they haven’t committed any reckless challenges inside their own box yet. Mexico are still fighting for that elusive goal which could send them into the round of 16.


73rd minute - Luis Chavez nearly had another goal off a free kick. This time he was going to the opposite side of the goal and forced another amazing save. As mentioned previously, another Mexico goal would send El Tri through to the knockout round if Argentina maintain a 2-0 lead. If Argentina add another goal and Mexico hold a 2-0 lead, Mexico would advance in that situation. Anything else and Mexico likely won’t have the tiebreaker over Poland.


66th minute - Argentina have scored again, so Mexico can go through to the knockout round if they get one more goal or Argentina score a third goal. Here’s a look at how tiebreakers work in the group stage at the World Cup.


60th minute - As things currently stand, Mexico would overtake Poland with more total goals if they add one more against Saudi Arabia. If Argentina were to add a goal on Poland, it could potentially come down to disciplinary action and Mexico have already received a yellow card in this match. El Tri lead Saudi Arabia 2-0 at the moment and are hoping for more with 30 minutes left.


53rd minute - ANOTHER GOAL FOR MEXICO! This time, it’s Luis Chavez off a free kick brilliantly placing the ball in the corner and El Tri are now truly in the mix for a knockout spot. One more goal for Mexico and Argentina, who lead Poland 1-0, would put Mexico ahead of Poland on goal differential in a tiebreaker situation.


47th minute - GOAL FOR MEXICO! Henry Martin puts one in the back of the net and Mexico are ahead 1-0!


Halftime - It’s 0-0 in Mexico-Saudi Arabia and Poland-Argentina and if these results hold, Poland and Argentina would go through to the knockout round. Mexico have been the far more aggressive team in this contest but Saudi Arabia have had some chances and have kept themselves in position to advance with this scoreline. You have to think Mexico will eventually find the back of the net but that’s something El Tri haven’t done this entire tournament.


45th minute - Mexico continue to attack and come up empty. Meanwhile, Lionel Messi’s penalty shot in Argentina-Poland was blocked, so that score remains 0-0. If that score holds and Mexico eventually find a goal, El Tri would be subject to tiebreakers with Argentina.


30th minute - Mexico continue to get chances and just can’t seem to put that final touch in the back of the net.


25th minute - This might be getting frustrating for Mexico fans. El Tri are putting on some nice attacking moves and making good runs, but they’ve put some truly soft shots on goal. It seems like everything suddenly loses juice once the ball enters the box for Mexico, as there have been at least three chances which should’ve troubled the Saudi Arabia goalkeeper much more than they did.


15th minute - Mexico have been the more aggressive team so far and have been able to make some good runs towards Saudi Arabia’s goal. The final move hasn’t quite come together but the potential for a goal here is much better than the first two matches. Saudi Arabia had a good free kick opportunity but haven’t done much outside of that in terms of creating chances.


3rd minute - We’ve seen some shots to start, but Mexico may have bottled a great chance early. Alexis Vega had a clear run inside the box and would’ve likely had an easy goal if Saudi Arabia’s goalkeeper didn’t come out to meet the ball. Vega got off a shot but the keeper was too close for Vega to work it around him.


Pregame - Here is Mexico’s starting lineup for the match against Saudi Arabia. Hector Herrera is out, but this is the group El Tri used against Poland in the opener.


Pregame - As things currently sit in the standings, Mexico need a win to have any shot of advancing to the knockout round. They would need Poland to defeat Argentina to secure qualification in that scenario. A Poland-Argentina draw would put Mexico in a tiebreaker with Argentina, and Lionel Messi’s side have a superior goal differential at +1. An Argentina win would put Mexico in a tiebreaker with Poland, and Poland hold a +2 goal differential at the moment. A Poland loss would mean the goal differential drops to at least +1, so Mexico need to make sure they win by a significant margin to ensure they can reach that mark.